Prediction analysis on our sports website CFL: Straight victories and points spread for Week 9
The Calgary Stampeders are set to face the Ottawa Redblacks this week, and predictions for the matchup generally favour the Stampeders as the winners. The Stampeders are favoured by about 4 to 4.5 points, with a projected score around Calgary 32, Ottawa 19, suggesting a comfortable win for Calgary [1][2].
The Stampeders' strong defense, balanced offense, and perfect road record against the spread (ATS) are cited as key factors, despite Ottawa playing at home. The game’s total points line is around 52 to 52.5, with some predictions leaning towards the under due to a history of lower scoring in this matchup and both teams trending that way this season [1][2].
However, there is some divergence in expert picks. While most sources favour Calgary +4.5 (meaning betting on Calgary to lose by less than 5 points or win outright), one analyst favours Ottawa -3.5, implying Ottawa might cover that spread at home [3]. This indicates some confidence in Ottawa based on home advantage and their previous home win against Calgary earlier this season.
Nonetheless, the more prevalent and detailed analysis supports Calgary covering the spread and winning with a score under 53 points [1][2]. Additional factors to consider include Calgary’s recent loss breaking a winning streak, which could motivate a strong bounce-back, and Ottawa struggling recently with a four-game losing streak and inconsistent performance at home [3].
In other news, Bo Levi Mitchell of the Stampeders has 15 touchdown passes and only three interceptions, making him a front-runner for Most Outstanding Player. On the other hand, Ottawa is set to welcome back Dru Brown, Bralon Addison, Peter Godber, and C.J. Coldon from sick bay [4].
Meanwhile, in the Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes matchup, something has to give between the Roughriders' top offence and the Alouettes' top-ranked defence. Trevor Harris has been exceptional for the Roughriders, throwing for six touchdowns and one interception in the month of July. The Alouettes' Jose Maltos kicked five field goals to beat the Calgary Stampeders last week [5].
The Roughriders have been perfect on the road so far this season, while the Alouettes have a top-ranked defence. The Stampeders will be starting P.J. Walker, who is making his first career CFL start in place of Vernon Adams Jr., who is out due to a head injury. McLeod Bethel-Thompson will make his fourth start of the season for the Alouettes [6].
Finally, the Edmonton Elks' defence ranks near the bottom of the league in almost every statistical category. The Argonauts won the turnover battle by a commanding 7-1 margin in their last game against the Blue Bombers [7].
References: [1] CFL.ca [2] 3DownNation [3] TSN [4] Calgary Herald [5] Montreal Gazette [6] Roughrider News [7] Toronto Star
- Bo Levi Mitchell, the Stampeders' quarterback, is generating discussions for the Most Outstanding Player title with his impressive 15 touchdown passes and mere three interceptions.
- Considering the Calgary Stampeders' strong standings, their 4-point advantage in the field goal spread over the Ottawa Redblacks is being supported by most analysts, with a projected score under 53 points.
- In the Saskatchewan Roughriders versus Montreal Alouettes matchup, the tension lies between the Roughriders' powerful offense and the Alouettes' top-notch defense.
