Predicting the Four Horses Finishing in Exact Order During the 2022 Kentucky Derby

Let's Tackle the Kentucky Derby Superfecta

Venturing into the Kentucky Derby Superfecta? Well, buckle up, cowboy! This is the holy grail of horse racing bets, known for its mind-blowing payouts. In the last decade, the average Superfecta payout has been a staggering $51,094.90 for a mere $1 bet, with the jackpot soaring to a whopping $321,500 when Rich Strike triumphed in 2022. Got your attention? Here's how to play the game.

When it comes to breaking down the Superfecta, it's all about grouping horses with possible finishing places and then figuring out the best way to play the game. Let's delve into the different categories.

Contenders Fighting for the Win

The clear-cut favorites are usually the ones to watch out for. In this year's Derby, the frontrunners might include #8 Mystic Guide and #17 Mo Donegal. While the latter may have a questionable draw, the former's pace and stall position could make them a formidable contender. However, making these favorites the winning combo might limit the upside of payouts.

CamaPaaSSSSSsion Horses

I'm gonna bring up the pace, 'cause this Derby is looking like one of the speediest in recent memory. The draw ain't been friendly either, as the quick horses are camped out at the inside (#1 Cyberknife, #2 Zandy, and #5 Smile Happy) and at the outside (#20 Summer Is Tomorrow). Horses wanting the lead are gonna have to floor it from the get-go to secure their desired position. With #13 Rich Strike throwing in some unpredictability, it's best to toss this bunch from the tickets.

Horses Worth Considering

Favorites to Skip

I'm gonna skip #10 Early Voting, since the draw and the pace don't seem to be in his favor. He's got the speed, but this race could be a tough nut to crack. If he manages to pull it off, it'll be a pleasant surprise.

My Picks

Alright, let's get down to business. Here are my suggestions for three bets, depending on your budget. Each "/" separates the position the horse needs to finish. For example, 1,2/1,2,3/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4,5 means the top horse should win, either the second horse or the third horse can finish second, any combination of the second, third, and fourth horses can finish third, and any combination of the second, third, fourth, and fifth horses can finish fourth.

Small Budget Superfecta: 8,17 / 8,10,17 / 8,10,13,17,25 / 8,10,13,17,25 = $24

Medium Budget Superfecta: 8,10,17 / 8,10,13,17 / 3,8,10,13,17,25 / 3,8,10,13,14,17,25 = $81

Big Budget Superfecta: 8,10,13,17 / 8,10,13,17 / 3,8,10,13,17,25 / 3,8,10,14,13,17,25 = $192

In the Kentucky Derby, the Superfecta bet offers average payouts of $51,094.90 for a $1 bet, with the jackpot reaching as high as $321,500, as seen in 2022 with Rich Strike's victory.
When considering the Superfecta, it's crucial to group horses based on their potential finishing positions and strategize the best method to play.
Contenders fighting for the win include #8 Mystic Guide and #17 Mo Donegal, with the former's pace and stall position making them a potential formidable contender.
Speedy horses like #1 Cyberknife, #2 Zandy, and #5 Smile Happy, along with #20 Summer Is Tomorrow, are camped at the inside and outside, and may have a tough race due to the draw and pace.