Predicted Games in MLB for July 1: Odds, Forecasts, and Choices for the Upcoming Matches on Tuesday
On July 2, 2023, the Major League Baseball (MLB) season continues with an exciting lineup of games, including several interleague matchups and division rivalries. Here are some top picks for the day, as suggested by expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson.
In the first game of the day, the St. Louis Cardinals face the Pittsburgh Pirates at 12:35 PM Eastern. Peterson recommends betting on the Cardinals to win at -132 and also the under 8 runs total. He rates Cardinals' starter Sonny Gray highly compared to the Pirates' Mitch Keller, who faces a weak offense.
Later in the day, the New York Yankees take on the Toronto Blue Jays at 7:07 PM Eastern. Peterson advises taking the Blue Jays moneyline at +112. He points to Blue Jays starter José Berríos’ strong home performance versus Yankees starter Will Warren’s weaker road stats.
The Miami Marlins will play the Minnesota Twins, with the Twins favored at -156 and the game total set at 8 runs. However, it's worth noting that the Marlins have been impressive on the road, hitting 46 homers compared to 26 in their home games. Furthermore, their bullpen has a 2.55 ERA over the last 14 days.
The Marlins' starting pitcher, Edward Cabrera, has a 3.78 ERA, but he also has control issues, with a lot of swing-and-miss upside. On the other hand, the Twins have the eighth-lowest BB% in the league and the fourth-lowest BB% against right-handed pitchers.
In another intriguing matchup, the San Diego Padres will play the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies are favoured at -164, and the game total is set at 8.5 runs. The pick for the first 5 innings of this game is the Phillies 1st 5 Run Line -0.5 (-125). The Phillies have a better outlook for power production against Cristopher Sanchez, the starting pitcher for the Phillies, compared to having to string a lot of hits together against Nick Pivetta, the Padres' starter.
The Padres rank 21st in wOBA against left-handed pitchers over the last 30 days and 22nd for the season. Interestingly, the Rockies are 18th in wRC+ against left-handed pitchers over the last 30 days.
It's also worth mentioning that the Yankees and Blue Jays are playing in one of the division rivalries, with the Blue Jays winning Game 1 on Monday. Additionally, Joe Ryan, the opposing starter for the Marlins, has one of the league's best K/BB ratios and a 2.86 ERA. Ryan, however, is an extreme fly ball pitcher, having given up 85 homers in 99 career starts and one relief appearance.
The MLB season continues on July 1 with 15 games, including seven interleague matchups and three division rivalries. Colton Gordon, the starting pitcher for the Houston Astros, has a 3.98 ERA with a 3.51 xERA and a 4.22 FIP.
[1] Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-best-bets-july-2-2023 [4] Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-best-bets-july-2-2023
In the matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates, Greg Peterson suggests betting on the Cardinals to win at -132 and the under 8 runs total, given Sonny Gray's advantage over Mitch Keller and a stronger Cardinals offense.
In an interleague matchup, Greg Peterson advises taking the Toronto Blue Jays moneyline at +112 against the New York Yankees, citing José Berríos’ strong home performance and Weak Yankees starter's road stats.
