Predict AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Outcomes with Fresh PGA Forecasts for Betting Purposes
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the second PGA Tour signature event of the season, is set to tee off with a stellar lineup of top golfers, including Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jordan Spieth. But, according to the new PGA Tour Course Fit projection system, it's not just their overall skills that could determine their success at this picturesque California course.
Recent historical data from the PGATour.com course fit tool indicates that Putting, Driving Accuracy, and Approach play—especially from mid- and long-range—are the primary strokes gained categories correlated with success at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This corresponds with the tournament’s course design and scoring conditions, where precision and solid short game skills tend to drive performance.
Great putting ability consistently shines at Pebble Beach, given the course's true greens and minimal hazards. In fact, in 2024, Putting and Driving Accuracy showed a stronger than average correlation to total strokes gained at Pebble Beach. Approach play is also crucial, with specific emphasis on shots from distances of 50-125 yards and 200+ yards, as these ranges cover the majority of approach shots on Pebble Beach's variety of par 3s, 4s, and 5s. Greens in regulation percentage from these distances is a significant factor.
However, it's worth noting that the "around the green" strokes gained category was uniquely significant in 2021, but generally less so in other years. This highlights some year-to-year variance in which strokes gained categories matter most at this event.
The newness of the PGA Tour Course Fit projection system may result in mixed results for betting on the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Nevertheless, the tool can be used to bet on head-to-head matchups, with some intriguing odds on offer. For instance, Taylor Pendrith, who has a course fit score of 17, is tied for the 6th-best in the field and has odds of +5000 to win the tournament. He also has odds of -115 to beat Corey Conners, who has a course fit score of 37 that is tied for 33rd.
Sam Burns, another golfer with a strong course fit, has a score of 13 and odds of +3500 to win the tournament. He is also projected as one of the best golfers to bet on to win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, along with Pendrith, according to the projection tool.
Brett Crown, a sports writer with a background in Sport Management at Florida State University, combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. According to him, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds for some top players include Scottie Scheffler (500), Rory McIlroy (1200), Collin Morikawa (1400), Justin Thomas (1400), and Patrick Cantlay (1600).
As the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am approaches, it's clear that precision, putting, and approach play will be key factors in determining the champion. With a field full of top talent and the new PGA Tour Course Fit tool providing valuable insights, the tournament is shaping up to be an exciting event.
- Some betting sites offer intriguing odds for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, such as Taylor Pendrith with odds of +5000 to win, who has a course fit score of 17 that ranks 6th best in the field.
- The PGA Tour Course Fit projection system suggests that great putting ability, driving accuracy, and approach play, particularly from mid- and long-range, are crucial for success at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
- According to the new PGA Tour Course Fit tool, Sam Burns is another golfer with a strong course fit, having a score of 13 and odds of +3500 to win the tournament, making him one of the top bets, along with Taylor Pendrith.
