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Potential Agreement with Hamas Foreseen by Trump This Week

Trump expects a viable agreement with Hamas this week to free the remaining captives. He plans to talk about a long-term deal with Iran with Netanyahu.

Possible deal with Hamas anticipated by Trump within the week
Possible deal with Hamas anticipated by Trump within the week

Potential Agreement with Hamas Foreseen by Trump This Week

In a significant development, indirect talks have resumed in Qatar this week, marking an important step towards a potential ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. The negotiations come after a six-week hiatus and are aimed at bridging the gaps created by Hamas's request for minor amendments to the Qatari-backed ceasefire and hostage deal proposal.

The current proposal, supported by mediators including Qatar, Egypt, and the United States, envisions a 60-day ceasefire during which Hamas would release 10 living and 18 dead hostages, Israeli forces would withdraw to a designated buffer zone along Gaza's borders, and significant humanitarian aid would be delivered under U.N. agency supervision.

However, Hamas's proposed changes to the agreement have been rejected as unacceptable by Israel. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has emphasised that the Israeli negotiating team will base discussions on the Qatari proposal that Israel has already agreed to, indicating little flexibility on Israel's part regarding Hamas's requested amendments.

The implications for these negotiations are significant. The resumption of talks signals a willingness on both sides to negotiate despite outstanding differences. Hamas's insistence on certain changes may reflect aims to secure terms favourable to its strategic or political goals, though these remain undisclosed. Israel's firm rejection of Hamas's changes suggests a careful balancing act to maintain security concerns and political constraints while pursuing a ceasefire and hostage release.

The involvement of U.S. mediation, including President Donald Trump’s personal guarantee of Israel’s adherence to the ceasefire, aims to build Hamas’s trust that Israel will not resume hostilities unilaterally during the ceasefire period, which Hamas demands to secure. Humanitarian aid distribution and the fate of organisations like the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation remain points of negotiation, with Israel preferring to replace U.N.-coordinated aid with entities it can oversee more directly.

Meanwhile, President Trump has expressed optimism about a deal with Hamas this week that could secure the release of some hostages. He also plans to discuss a permanent deal with Iran with Prime Minister Netanyahu on Monday. Netanyahu, for his part, sees an opportunity to broaden the circle of peace and bring a great future for the people of Israel and the Middle East.

Netanyahu has directed the acceptance of an invitation to proximity talks for the return of the hostages and has emphasised the commitment to stand guard and prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. He also stated that there are 20 living hostages and 30 deceased ones left to be returned.

The outcome of these negotiations will critically depend on whether Hamas’s conditions can be reconciled with Israel’s security demands and political red lines. The coming days promise to be crucial as both sides work towards a potential ceasefire and the release of long-held hostages.

  1. In this round of negotiations, the political goals of Hamas could be inferred from their insistence on making certain changes to the Qatari proposal, as they aim to secure terms that are favorable to their strategic position.
  2. As the indirect talks continue, Israel shows little flexibility in aligning with Hamas's requested amendments to the agreement, indicating a delicate balance between maintaining security concerns and political constraints whilst pursuing a ceasefire and hostage release.

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