With Biden seemingly considering a visit to Saudi Arabia, it's time to reevaluate the relationship between the U.S. and the kingdom. Recent reports suggest a meeting between Biden and CIA Director Burns to discuss mending ties with the notorious Crown Prince, MBS.
The geopolitical landscape has shifted dramatically since the Khashoggi scandal, especially with the volatile situation in Ukraine and the resulting oil market disruption. Saudi Arabia, seeking an escape from its war in Yemen and the resignation of Yemen's President Hadi under Saudi pressure, could be an opportunity to strengthen the Abraham Accord.
The Biden administration's approach to Saudi Arabia needs to be delicate yet firm. They must tread carefully to protect their own credibility and values while considering MBS's interests. It's essential to address his concerns about American self-confidence, particularly following Iran-supported Houthi attacks, to ensure Saudi Arabia stays on a path towards normalizing relations with Israel.
Addressing Concerns
Enhanced Security Commitments
- Defense Cooperation: A robust defense cooperation agreement would establish a strategic alliance, providing military support to counter threats from Houthi rebels and regional adversaries.
- Protection from Houthi Attacks: Enhanced security measures around Saudi airports and critical infrastructure could help protect against Houthi drone and missile attacks, as seen in the Abha International Airport attack.
Economic Incentives
- Trade and Investment Ties: Deeper trade and investment ties could align with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 transformation agenda, potentially bringing investments in critical infrastructure, energy, and other strategic sectors.
Political Support and Diplomatic Efforts
- Public Statements: Affirming public support for Saudi Arabia's security and stability could build trust, including condemning Houthi attacks and supporting its sovereignty.
- Diplomatic Engagement: Active diplomatic engagement with other Arab and Islamic countries to build a coalition against Iran-backed militias could be reassuring for Saudi Arabia.
Addressing Palestinian Statehood Concerns
- Two-State Solution: Reaffirming the U.S. commitment to a two-state solution and supporting efforts towards Palestinian statehood could help address long-standing Saudi concerns about normalization without compromising on Palestinian rights.
Strategic Alliances and Regional Integration
- Regional Security Framework: Being part of a broader regional security framework, including other Gulf and Arab states, could provide a sense of security and stability for Saudi Arabia.
By addressing these concerns through a combination of enhanced security commitments, economic incentives, political support, and diplomatic efforts, the Biden administration could potentially encourage Saudi Arabia to take a new step towards normalizing relations with Israel. This could help strengthen and expand the Abraham Accord without compromising American values or creating new conflicts.
References: [1]. (edition.cnn.com) [2]. (aawsat.com) [3]. (aljazeera.com) [4]. (voanews.com)
