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Get Pumped for Pinniped Prop Bets: A Hail Mary's Tale

By Alex Windsor and Brian Webb December 10, 2024

Dive into the wild, briny world of pinniped prop bets, a peculiar football wager. This rare bet consists of predicting a player to score a touchdown and the subsequent two-point conversion, a feat so uncommon it's been coined 'pinniped' since 2019 (Goldich, 2019).

Pinniped Prop Explained

In the exciting, fast-paced game of football, after a team scores a touchdown, they have the option to earn more points via a conversion. A conversion can be through a one-point kick or a two-point attempt by snapping the ball on the two-yard line. Stick with me as we delve into the world of pinniped prop betting, gathering insights from a seasoned bettor.

How Does a Pinniped Bet Work

The important thing to grasp with pinniped bets is that the player must score a touchdown and the subsequent two-point conversion. For example, they cannot score a touchdown in the first quarter and follow up with a two-point conversion in the second quarter or vice versa. Moreover, the player should carry the ball into the end zone, not simply catch a touchdown pass.

Typically, pinniped bets are set up as yes or no markets, where you wager on whether or not one will occur during a game. These bets are usually available only for notable football matches such as the Super Bowl.

Riding the Waves of Pinniped History

Since the NFL introduced the two-point conversion in 1994, there have been 175 'pinnipeds'. During the 2018 NFL season, a record 15 pinnipeds were observed. Over 20 NFL players have scored multiple pinnipeds in their careers.

In Super Bowl LVII, Jalen Hurts made NFL history when he scored a pinniped for the Eagles against the Chiefs. In the fourth quarter, Hurts rushed for a two-yard touchdown and then followed up with another rushing touchdown for the two-point conversion, leading to a closely contested loss for the Eagles.

Patrick Mahomes, who defeated Hurts in Super Bowl LVII, also bagged a pinniped during the 2021/2022 season against the Tennessee Titans. With the Chiefs falling behind late, Mahomes rushed for a 14-yard touchdown and also earned the two-point conversion, securing the win for Kansas City.

Pros & Cons of Pinniped Betting

Pinniped bets are risky, long shots with slim chances of winning. To make matters worse, sportsbooks raise the juice for this tailgate party-fueling prop.

On the flip side, the prizes can be enormous. It's not uncommon to secure odds of +1400 or higher. You'll not forget the thrill of landing such a daunting wager. Unfortunately, your opportunities to make pinniped bets are limited, as this market is generally restricted to the Super Bowl.

Pros:

Big payouts
Simple bet
Enhances Super Bowl excitement
Lots of data to make informed picks

Cons:

Low chance of winning
High juice
Only offered for major football events

Paddle Out With These Pinniped Betting Tips

Pinniped betting relies heavily on luck due to the rarity of the event. Still, here are some strategies to sway the odds in your favor:

Time it Right - Analyze the game and pick the ideal moment for a pinniped bet using the live betting markets. Ideally, wait for a team to be trailing by the perfect amount in the fourth quarter, where it makes sense to attempt a two-point conversion, or a two-point conversion is crucial to secure a lead.
Look for the right team with a rushing quarterback and a strong running back - Teams with a rushing quarterback, like Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes, have a better chance of scoring pinnipeds. When a team boasts a powerful running back, it increases the possibility of scoring pinnipeds via short rushes.
Consider teams with a high two-point conversion rate - When looking at teams with a strong two-point conversion rate, focus on games where both teams convert at least 50% of their two-point attempts.

Navigating the Shark-Infested Waters of Pinniped Betting

To embark on your first pinniped betting venture, follow these steps:

Register at any recommended sportsbook
Select a game (this market is usually reserved for the Super Bowl)
Opt for 'Yes' if you predict a pinniped will occur and 'No' if you don't
Enter your bet amount
Confirm your wager

Competing in the pinniped market is a gamble, and your odds of success may be as elusive as the prey of the deep sea. But should you land that fat-headed fish, you'll not only walk away with a juicy payout but also a legendary tale to tell.

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Alex WindsorAlex, a ten-year iGaming industry heavyweight, currently serves as our Managing Editor, focusing on sports betting and betting tools. He provides insightful reviews, keeps abreast of all offers, and vigilantly maintains content quality to ensure informed betting decisions. With a passion for football and soccer, Alex offers a reliable resource, specializing in betting tools to help you navigate odds, accas, and various betting strategies.

In the thrilling world of football betting, pinniped prop bets stand out as a unique and exciting wager, given their rarity and high payouts. These bets involve predicting a player to score a touchdown and follow it up with a two-point conversion, a feat often referred to as a 'pinniped' due to its scarcity.

When considering sports like American football (NFL) or football (Soccer), it's essential to understand that a pinniped can significantly enhance the excitement of high-profile matches like the Super Bowl. To maximize your chances in a pinniped bet, research and apply strategies like timing your wager, looking for teams with a rushing quarterback and strong running back, and considering teams with a high two-point conversion rate.