NY Yankees and Mets Clash in Game 1 (May 16), Predictions, Betting Lines, and Top Wagers Discussed

It's time for a thrilling Subway Series showdownbetween the New York Yankees and the New York Mets tonight! The Bronx Bombers are the favorites, with a -142 moneyline, as they host the Mets in the Bronx. Tonight's game will feature a power pitching matchup, with Tylor Megill (3-3, 3.10 ERA) toeing the rubber for the Mets, and the Yankees countering with Carlos Rodon (4-3, 3.29 ERA).

Let's dive into our picks and best bets for this electrifying Game 1. The Yankees currently lead MLB in home runs and boast a slugging percentage of .481. Superstar slugger Aaron Judge, the gunning for the AL MVP, is off to an incredible start, leading the league in home runs, batting average, slugging, OPS, hits, and RBI. The Mets, on the other hand, boast a potent lineup as well, ranking amongst the league's top 10 in home runs, hits, slugging, and OPS.

Game 1 Picks

So, what's on the table for tonight's matchup? Here are our picks:

Over 9 (-105 at Bet365): We believe this high-scoring clash between the two powerhouse teams will produce plenty of fireworks.

Tylor Megill, starting for the Mets, is coming off back-to-back subpar performances. Although he's racked up strikeouts thanks to a career-best rate, we predict that his current strikeout magic won't last much longer. If we take a closer look at his statistics, we'll find that he's generating the second-fewest swings and misses of his career. Additionally, his velocity is down on both his fastball and sinker, while his hard-hit rate allowed has never been higher.

The Yankees have been on a home run-hitting tear, leading the league with 76 home runs and showing no signs of slowing down. Between the Yankees' hot hitting and Megill's current struggles, we think this will be a high-scoring contest.

On the other side, Carlos Rodon will be on the mound for the Yankees. Despite giving up two runs or less in four of his last five starts, his high strikeout rate seems sustainable. Rodon's K rate is aligned with his career average, while his called strike rate is the best of his MLB tenure. However, his hard hit allowed rate is still quite high at 38.5%.

That's a worrying sign against a powerful Mets lineup. The Mets are ranked top 10 in terms of home runs, hits, slugging, and OPS. In fact, their lineup absolutely crushes southpaws like Rodon, with a slashing .270/.355/.439 versus left-handers this season. Juan Soto, a recent acquisition for the Mets, is batting .353 against lefties with a .989 OPS.

Odds and Best Bets

In addition to picking the over, we've found a couple of solid best bets for this game.

Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBI (-125 at Bet365): If we're betting on the over in this World Series contender showdown, we'll need impressive production from both teams. Even though Judge's prop lines may seem efficiently priced, we'll target Francisco Lindor instead. Lindor has a history of success against Rodon, going 10-for-35 with two home runs and 6 RBI over their lifetime matchups. Lindor is currently amongst the top 30 players in MLB in terms of runs, home runs, RBI, and hits.

With the Yankees and Mets both looking to prove their mettle in this Subway Series opener, it's sure to be an unforgettable game. So, don't miss out on the action, and don't forget to check out the latest odds and promotions at Bet365 using our exclusive bonus code! Good luck, and let's enjoy some baseball!

[1] <https://www.stathead.com/lite/Batters/s2.cfm?tid=57363033&player=Juan%20Soto&match=&atore=REG%20SEAS&age=0&position=ALL&qual=QS&lrgam=N&lgwg=ALL&lgab=ALL&lgin=ALL&lstol=0&lstol=0&order=AVG&col=AVG&chg=ne&cmp=LC&mds=&mtn=&rpow=&rpoh=&rtx=&rbin=&riaa=&rree=&riab=&rreh=&rfwh=&rfhh=&rlns=&rlnl=0&rpb1=ALL&rpb2=ALL&rpc=&rbh<=9999&rl=&rs=40&type=8>[2] <https://www.stathead.com/lite/Batters/s2.cfm?tid=57357099&player=Aaron%20Judge&match=&atore=REG%20SEAS&age=0&position=ALL&qual=QS&lrgam=N&lgwg=ALL&lgab=ALL&lgin=ALL&lstol=0&lstol=0&order=HR&col=HR&chg=ne&cmp=LC&mds=&mtn=&rpow=&rpoh=&rtx=&rbin=&riaa=&rree=&riab=&rreh=&rfwh=&rfhh=&rlns=&rlnl=0&rpb1=ALL&rpb2=ALL&rpc=&rbh<=9999&rl=&rs=40&type=8>[3] https://www.imahes.com/blogs/hockey-mlb-nfl-nba-nhl-ncaab-nfl-nba-nhl/tylor-megill-mixes-locke-gets-tt-blue-tinged[4] https://www.stathead.com/lite/Pitchers/s2.cfm?pid=megit004&ost=ST&arg1=0&qual=QS&aste=0&gcode=N&lgwg=ALL&lgab=ALL&lgin=ALL&lstol=0&rpow=&rpow=&rpoh=&rtx=&rbin=&riaa=&rree=&riab=&rreh=&rfwh=&rfhh=&rlns=&rlnl=0&rpb1=ALL&rpb2=ALL&rpc=&rbh=0&pa1=&pa2=&pa3=&pa4=&pa5=&order=W&col=W&trans=1&hl=en

The Yankees, with their high-scoring offense and home run-hitting prowess, are expected to produce plenty of runs against a potentially struggling Tylor Megill.
Carlos Rodon, despite his recent strong performances, might find trouble against the Mets' powerful lineup, especially compared to his high hard-hit rate allowed.
Francisco Lindor, known for his success against Carlos Rodon, could be a solid choice for hitting multiple bases (hits, runs, and RBI) in tonight's game.
The Mets, boasting a strong lineup against left-handed pitchers like Rodon, could potentially capitalize on this opportunity and put up a good fight against the Yankees.
Over 9 (-105 at Bet365) appears to be a promising pick for tonight's Subway Series opener, considering the high-scoring potential of this powerhouse matchup.

NY Yankees and Mets Clash in Game 1 (May 16), Predictions, Betting Lines, and Top Wagers Discussed