NHL Showdown: Avalanche vs Stars in Game Seven - Expert Analysis, May 3:
NHL Projections: Expert Guesses for Saturday, 3rd May
Let's dive into the nerve-wracking Game Seven of the NHL's opening round. It's going the distance, right? Seems like a no-brainer!
Colorado Avalanche (@ -165, 5.5) vs Dallas Stars
Game Seven (Series tied 3-3)
8 p.m. ET
Pete DeBoer, the Dallas Stars' tactician, is the undisputed "Mr. Game Seven." With a stellar 8-0 record in Game Sevens throughout his career, he surpasses all expectations. "Obviously great memories. I don't have any bad ones. Let's keep that going," he said. The Colorado Avalanche, meanwhile, have a painful history, losing six straight Game Sevens, including their last three to the Dallas Stars. The last time they tasted Game Seven victory was in 2002, when Cale Makar was just three years old.
Colorado initially opened as a (-135) road favorite, but the line has significantly shifted, with the Avalanche now standing as (-165) favorites. Dive into the VSIN Betting Splits page and you'll see that the Avalanche are grabbing 40% of the bets, but an astounding 81% of the money at Circa. At DraftKings, the Avalanche are receiving 57% of the bets and 49% of the money, pointing towards a influx of sharp money wagers.
I won't back the Avalanche's Money Line at this cost, particularly considering Jake Oettinger's performance in his recent game sevens. Oettinger stands at 2-1 with a remarkable 1.54 goals against average and a .956 save percentage. Nonetheless, I'm all in for both teams on the Puck Line (-1.5 goals). I also favor the Stars to score the initial goal of the game. Teams in playoff games that scored the first goal after a loss have an impressive 24-11 record.
Game Sevens are all about giving it everything you've got to secure the victory. Keeping that in mind, let's explore some blocked shots props: Colorado's Ryan Lindgren has posted three blocked shots in each of the last three games, while Thomas Harley of Dallas has achieved the same in the previous three games as well. Moving on to shots on goal: Colorado's Cale Makar has netted four or more shots in four of the last five games and five or more on three occasions. The Stars' Mason Marchment has had four consecutive games with two shots on goal.
Game Seven Picks:- Dallas Stars to score the first goal of the game +105 - .50 units- Dallas Stars -1.5 goals (alternate line) +310 - .25 units- Colorado Avalanche -1.5 goals +156 - .25 units- Ryan Lindgren Over 2.5 blocks +120 - .50 units- Thomas Harley Over 2.5 blocks +205 - .50 units- Cale Makar Over 3.5 shots on goal (-110) - .50 units- Cale Makar Over 4.5 shots on goal +205 - .25 units- Mason Marchment Over 1.5 shots on goal (-155) - .50 units- Joel Kiviranta anytime goal +1200 - .10 units- Matt Duchene anytime goal +375 - .10 units
DISCLAIMER: This article is meant for entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.
ADDITIONAL INSIGHTS:
- Pete DeBoer's 9-0 record in Game Sevens is the North American record for most Game 7 wins by a coach or manager across major sports.
- DeBoer has gathered his record-breaking Game Seven wins across four different teams: New Jersey Devils, San Jose Sharks, Vegas Golden Knights, and Dallas Stars.
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- NHL Predictions: Expert Picks on Friday, May 2
- NHL Predictions: Expert Picks on Thursday, May 1
- NHL Predictions: Expert Picks on Wednesday, April 30
In this exhilarating Game Seven of the NHL, expert picks suggest that the Dallas Stars, led by the phenomenal record of coach Pete DeBoer in Game Sevens, may score the first goal of the game, offering a potential return of +105. Additionally, the picks favor the Stars to win by more than one goal on the alternate line, offering a generous +310 return. Among individual player props, Ryan Lindgren of the Colorado Avalanche is predicted to record over 2.5 blocked shots at +120.
