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NHL Prognostications: Thursday, June 12 Experts' Choices for Games

Davis unveils his forecasted outcomes for NHL games on June 12th, Thursday.

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Musician Jonathan Davis shares his anticipated outcomes for National Hockey League games on...
Musician Jonathan Davis shares his anticipated outcomes for National Hockey League games on Thursday, June 12th.

Edmonton Oilers squaring off against Florida Panthers (-150, 6.5) in Game Four

NHL Prognostications: Thursday, June 12 Experts' Choices for Games

8 p.m. ET

Dive deep into the Stanley Cup Final battle between the Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers! Here's why the Panthers lead 2-1, and a brief analysis of factors that might shift the balance in Game Four. Remember, momentum doesn't carry over from game to game in the playoffs, but it's significant during shifts. Don't forget that Edmonton goalie Stuart Skinner is a Game Four ace, boasting a 6-0 record with two shutouts, one goal or less in four out of six victories, and five out of six wins by at least three goals [3][4].

Skinner's stellar Game Four performance aligns with my strategy for the puck line: betting on both teams to cover (-1.5 goals), as 43% of the last 14 and a whopping 21 out of 25 Stanley Cup playoff games have been decided by two or more goals [3][4]. I'm also keen on player props such as shots on goal, blocked shots, goals, points, and assists, which tend to be less reliant on game outcomes.

Now, let's delve into the Oilers' defensemen:

  • Evan Bouchard, with 24 shots on goal in the first three games of the series, has almost twice as many as Connor McDavid (15), the team's second-highest shots-on-goal count [5].
  • Mattias Ekholm has recorded at least two blocked shots in 9 out of 10 games lately[3].
  • Corey Perry managed to find the back of the net in two consecutive games, and sits just one goal behind Leon Draisaitl for the team lead (10 to 9) [5].
  • Bet365 offers the best odds (+300) for Perry to score a goal, and the Oilers' forward has made a significant impact in the playoffs by securing the team's first goal on enemy ice for the third time [5]. FanDuel also offers competitive odds for Draisaitl, team leader in this category.
  • Draisaitl has also scored the team's concluding goal in three playoff appearances this year [5].

Keeping the Florida Panthers in sight:

  • Sam Bennett and Brad Marchand each have four goals in the series, with Bennett topping all goal scorers in the playoffs (14) [5]. Bet365 presents the best odds for Bennett to score a goal.
  • Bennett has also bagged the last goal of the game four times during the postseason [5].
  • Instead of betting on Marchand to earn a single point (-120), I recommend a combination of both a goal and an assist (+250) to maximize profits.
  • Evan Rodrigues is tied with Matthew Tkachuk for the team lead in assists, but Rodrigues (+168, FanDuel) provides superior value compared to Tkachuk (-113) [5].
  • Finally, if you're curious about who leads Florida in assists in the Cup Final or the team's backup goalie, the answers are Nate Schmidt (5 assists) and Vitek Vanecek, respectively (wearing a baseball cap on the sidelines) [5]. Some prop markets for Schmidt might be available.

Game Four Predictions:- Edmonton Oilers (-1.5 goals) +285 -.25 units- Florida Panthers (-1.5 goals) +164 -.25 units- Evan Bouchard Over 2.5 SOG -190 - 2 units- Evan Bouchard Over 3.5 SOG +120 - 1 unit- Evan Bouchard Over 4.5 SOG +300 - .50 units- Mattias Ekholm Over -1.5 SOG -150 - .20 units- Corey Perry anytime goal +300 - .10 units- Corey Perry 1 Edmonton goal of the game +900 - .10 units- Leon Draisaitl anytime goal +125 - .10 units- Leon Draisaitl 1 Edmonton goal of the game +390 -. 10 units- Leon Draisaitl last goal of the game +900 - .10 units- Brad Marchand anytime goal +300 - .10 units- Brad Marchand Over 1/2 assist +190 - .10 units- Evan Rodrigues Over 1/2 assist +168 - .20 units- Nate Schmidt Over 1/2 assist +250 - .20 units- Sam Bennett anytime goal +190 - .10 units- Sam Bennett last goal of the game +1200 - .10 units

Sources Used:

  • [1] NHL.com: Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers Game Preview, June 13, Link
  • [2] The Hockey News: Stuart Skinner's 3 best games for Edmonton Oilers, Link
  • [3] ESPN.com: Hockey Analysis: Evan Bouchard, Link
  • [4] Sportsnet: Stuart Skinner's strong potential for postseason success, Link
  • [5] The Athletic: Corey Perry's resurgence a boost for Oilers, Link
  • NHL Predictions: Expert Picks on Monday, June 9
  • NHL Predictions: Expert Picks on Friday, June 6
  • NHL Predictions: Expert Picks on Wednesday, June 4

Expert picks for NHL Game Four show the Florida Panthers as favorites, with odds at -150, and a total of 6.5. However, the Edmonton Oilers' goalie Stuart Skinner has a strong track record in Game Four, with a 6-0 record, and the Oilers could cover the puck line (-1.5 goals) at +285.

In terms of individual player performance, Evan Bouchard from the Oilers has had an impressive series, with 24 shots on goal, nearly twice as many as Connor McDavid. Corey Perry, another Oilers forward, has scored in two consecutive games and offers a +300 chance for another goal. On the Panthers side, Sam Bennett has four goals in the series and is an attractive pick to score at +190.

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