NFL Week 11 Predictive Betting Guide for Creating a Parlay Combination
NFL Betting Trends: Week 11 Preview
As the NFL season enters Week 11, let's take a look at some of the key betting trends that have emerged so far and how they might impact upcoming matchups.
Preseason and Early Season Trends
In the 2025 preseason, underdogs have been successful against the spread (ATS), winning 19 out of 31 games (19-12 record). This suggests that bettors who backed underdogs ATS have had an edge. Historically, ATS betting remains very popular, with sportsbooks setting point spreads to balance action.
Overs have dominated the preseason with a record of 22-9 through early August, indicating higher scoring games than sportsbooks expected. This trend might be worth considering, though regular season trends can differ.
Betting on the outright winner without point spread consideration (Straight Up) remains common, with mixed results. Some games have seen bets on underdogs, but money backing favorites on both moneyline and spreads.
Specific Team Trends for Week 11
While up-to-date sportsbooks and betting analysis platforms should be consulted for Week 11 trends, some recent trends are worth noting:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have won 9 out of their last 11 games away (Straight Up).
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
The Chiefs' impressive away form and Baltimore's high-scoring games could make the total an attractive bet in their matchup.
- The Packers have won 6 out of their last 9 home games (Against the Spread).
- The Lions have lost 4 out of their last 5 games against Chicago (Against the Spread).
In their upcoming game, the Packers might be a strong bet against the spread, given their home form, while the Lions' struggles against Chicago could continue.
- The Patriots have won 4 out of their last 5 games (Against the Spread), but have also lost 5 out of their last 7 games (Overall).
The Patriots' recent form against the spread is encouraging, but their overall record suggests caution might be needed.
- The Titans have won 4 out of their last 5 games (Straight Up).
- The Steelers have won 16 out of their last 19 games (Straight Up).
Both the Titans and Steelers are in good form, making their matchup an interesting one to watch.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants' last 8 games at home.
- The Bears have won 4 out of their last 5 games (Against the Spread).
In their home game, the total might be an attractive under bet for the Giants, while the Bears could be a strong bet against the spread.
- The Ravens have lost 8 out of their last 12 games away (Against the Spread).
- In 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing LA Rams, the total has gone OVER.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games on the road.
In their matchup, the total could be an attractive over bet, given both teams' recent high-scoring games.
- The Giants have lost 4 out of their last 5 home games (Straight Up).
- In 13 of Green Bay's last 16 games, the total has gone OVER.
- The Browns have lost 5 out of their last 7 home games against Jacksonville (Straight Up).
- The Jaguars have won 4 out of their last 5 games (Straight Up).
In their home game, the Jaguars might be a strong bet (Straight Up), while the total could be an attractive over bet for Green Bay, given their recent high-scoring games.
As Week 11 approaches, it's essential to monitor professional picks and expert analyses for more precise ATS and over/under recommendations. Sportsbooks' lines, spreads, and totals for Week 11 will be posted closer to the game dates, at which time public betting percentages and money splits become clearer.
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