NFL Week 11 Divisional Encounter: A Guide on Betting for Detroit versus Chicago

The NFL Week 11 matchup between the Detroit Lions (5-4) and Chicago Bears (3-6) promises an exciting encounter, as both teams look to secure a crucial victory in their respective quests for success. Here's a breakdown of the key factors to consider ahead of the game.

Game Details

The game will take place on Sunday, November 19, at 1 PM EST at Soldier Field, Chicago. The contest will be broadcast on FOX, with radio coverage available on 95.3 FM (Detroit) and 720 AM (Chicago). The weather forecast for the game is partly cloudy with a temperature of 0°C/32°F, humidity of 50%, precipitation of 0%, cloud cover of 34%, wind of 13 mph W, and a stadium type of Open.

Statistical Comparison

In terms of turnovers, the Lions average 2.30 compared to the Bears' 1.20. When it comes to pass attempts, the Lions average 39.40 compared to the Bears' 37.80, with completion percentages of 62.94 for the Lions and 61.90 for the Bears. The Lions also have an edge in passing yards, averaging 263.60 compared to the Bears' 246.70. However, the Bears slightly outperform the Lions in rushing yards, averaging 121.56 compared to the Lions' 110.40.

In terms of total yards, the Lions average 374.00 compared to the Bears' 343.3. The Lions' offense averages an average score of 27.11, with total yards of 336.89, rushing yards of 82.56, and passing yards of 254.33. Conversely, the Bears' offense averages an average score of 16.67, with total yards of 291.34, rushing yards of 121.56, and passing yards of 169.78.

Betting Trends and Odds

The Lions are currently 3-point favorites, and the Over/Under for the game is at 41. Bears are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games. In terms of ATS, the Bears are 4-1 in their last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games, while the total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games.

In terms of NFL Playoff Odds, the Lions have a lower probability compared to the Bears. In terms of NFC Champion Odds, the Lions have a lower probability compared to the Bears. In terms of AFC Champion Odds, the Lions are not included, while the Bears have a lower probability compared to other teams. In terms of Super Bowl Odds, the Lions have a significantly lower probability compared to the Bears.

Historical Context

In the last 10 games between these two teams, the Detroit Lions have a record of 7-3, with an average score of 24.10 compared to the Chicago Bears' 20.90. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Chicago.

Expert Opinion

Detailed betting trends and expert picks specifically for the Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears game are not directly available. However, the available data provides comprehensive background on each team's 2025 season outlook and betting context that informs their matchup.

The Lions are facing a tough 2025 schedule, considered the second hardest in the NFL. They start the season as underdogs in several key games but have a strong record of 69% ATS (against the spread) as favorites under coach Campbell, although only 3-4 ATS when favored by more than a touchdown since 2021. Their schedule highlights a difficult first half followed by a better second half, including that Week 11 game at Philadelphia (a potential NFC title preview), before visiting Chicago in Week 18.

Chicago Bears have made big offseason moves, including acquiring star QB Caleb Williams and revamping their coaching staff. While optimism is rising, oddsmakers are cautious — the Bears are favorites in only six of 17 games and are projected to finish with around 8 wins, placing third in the highly competitive NFC North. Betting markets offer mixed expert takes: the "Degen Doc" favors Bears over 8.5 wins, making playoffs, and winning NFC North (+550), while the "Professor Locks" advises under 8.5 wins, reflecting uncertainty in their trajectory.

In summary, current expert opinion and betting trends suggest the Detroit Lions may be a cautious favorite or at least closely matched with Chicago in Week 11, but uncertainty about Chicago’s consistency and Detroit’s tough schedule tempers strong betting convictions. Bettors are advised to monitor injury reports and late-season form closer to the game for a more precise pick.