NFL Divisional Playoff Matchups' Spread Predictions - Preliminary Lines to Consider
Strutting into the Divisional Round playoffs, home teams are lord over the battlefield, favored in four of the six games to be played. The victors from both Southern divisions, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Houston Texans, surprisingly find themselves as home underdogs. The Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills, on the other hand, are wielding hefty favorites as they set foot on their home turfs.
If you're wagering your bets based on Wild Card Weekend performances, being a home team is lucrative. In last week's six postseason games, the home side won an impressive 5-1 straight up and 4-2 against the spread (ATS). However, the chalk was a different story, finishing the weekend 2-4 ATS.
Want to up your ATS picks ante for the Divisional Round playoffs? San Francisco is giving Green Bay a whopping 9.5 points, and Baltimore is hanging it out for Houston at 9 points. A more modest 6.5-point home pick over Tampa Bay awaits Detroit. Buffalo and Kansas City aren't far off, with the Bills taking a 2.5-point lead at home. Both the Bills and Lions have seen their spreads rising in their favor ever since the opening lines dropped, while the numbers have shortened for the Ravens and 49ers.
Let's dive into the top NFL ATS picks this week, as featured in the table below:
Divisional Round NFL Picks Against the Spread
| Matchup | Spread | Pick | Units Risked ||-----------|--------|--------|--------------|| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions | DET-6.5 | DET | 1 || Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers | SF-9.5 | GB | 1 || Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills | BUF-2.5 | BUF | 1 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
This week's NFL ATS picks highlight plays on the Lions, Packers, and Bills.
DET-6.5
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DET
NFL ATS Picks 1: Lions Stoke Up Against the Bucs
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Let's trace back the NFL postseason victories of the Detroit Lions: a voyage that lasts as long as 1957. That year also marked the last time the Lions hoisted the championship trophy. If everything falls into place for the Motor City crew, history might just repeat itself as they take on Tampa Bay.
The Buccaneers displayed a smashing defensive performance in their Wild Card Weekend matchup against the Eagles, but once you set your sights on the Detroit offensive line, the Lions' QB, Jared Goff, should be able to outpace Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield and his squad. The Lions may have only scored 20 points against Tampa Bay in Week 6, but odds are we'll witness a considerably higher output this time around.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers
NFL ATS Picks: Detroit Lions -6.5 (-110), 1 unit
SF-9.5
NFL ATS Picks 2: Packers: A Cover Blockbuster
GB
Brace yourself for some Football Fireworks, as the 49ers and Packers light up the field. The 49ers, who earned the top seed in the NFC playoffs after securing a bye week, are now laying their cards on the table against Green Bay, who have steamrolled through their opponents.
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The Packers hold strong when it comes to ATS, with a winning streak of 6-3 in their last nine games. Meanwhile, the 49ers are struggling on their home turf, dropping five consecutive home games ATS. Green Bay running back Aaron Jones is a force to be reckoned with, and we're preparing for a cover that will rival the stunning Green Bay-Detroit playoff matchups of the past.
NFL ATS Picks: Green Bay Packers +9.5 (-110), 1 unit
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
NFL ATS Picks 3: Bills Ready for a Showdown
BUF-2.5
Buffalo's season was once shaping up to be a bust, but a remarkable 6-game winning streak transformed their fortunes. The Bills also emerged victorious in their most recent showdown against Kansas City, marking a 20-17 win on their home field. This put them in a powerful position ahead of the anticipated rematch.
BUF
Remember when the Bills were written off with a 6-6 record? Ancient history! Now, they're the team on a hot streak and are coming for Kansas City. Quarterback Josh Allen and running back Devin Singletary are readying themselves to lead the charge and seize their comeback against the Chiefs.
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NFL ATS Picks: Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-120), 1 unit
- NFL ATS record: 2-1
NFL Divisional Round Picks Against the Spread Quick Picks
- Ravens (-9) vs Texans: Assume that you're banking on a dominant performance from the Ravens, who have racked up an impressive 11-6 ATS record this season, 5-3 ATS at home, and 1-0 ATS at home when favored by 9+ points. On the other hand, the Texans have dropped their only game as a 9+ point underdog this season but have fared well as an away underdog, standing tall with a 4-1 ATS record.
- Use the BetMGM promo code SBD158 for new users to gain access to the Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer during this January 2024 promotion.
- In the Divisional Round of playoffs, Detroit Lions are picked as underdogs against Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a line of DET-6.5, while Green Bay Packers are the favorites against San Francisco 49ers with a spread of SF-9.5.
- If you're betting on the NFL ATS picks this week, the Lions are considered the favorite to cover the spread against the Buccaneers, according to the odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.
- The Lions' impressive ATS record and strong performance against Tampa Bay in the regular season make them an attractive pick for betters in the Divisional Round.
- The Packers, despite being the underdogs against the 49ers, have a strong ATS record of 6-3 in their last nine games, making them a potential cover team for the Divisional Round.
- The Buffalo Bills, who have been on a hot streak, are also favored to cover the spread against the Kansas City Chiefs, who they previously defeated in their most recent matchup.
- The Bills have seen their spread shorten significantly since the opening lines dropped, indicating a high level of confidence in their ability to cover the spread in the Divisional Round.
- The NFL ATS record for the featured picks is currently 2-1, with the Lions and Bills covering their respective spreads, while the Packers are being picked to cover their large spread against the 49ers.
