Chit-Chat with Caren Miosga: Peace Negotiations on Horizon Between Israel and Iran?
Negotiations with Islamist Steinberg Set for Approximately Two to Three Weeks Ahead
Hear the latest on the war between Israel and Iran as Caren Miosga's guests discuss the escalating conflict. ARD's Israel correspondent Sophie von der Tann reports on a ballistic missile strike in southern Tel Aviv and Israel's questionable trust in their defense shield.
Guido Steinberg, an Iran expert, ascertains that Iranian rockets aren't targeting residential areas but aren't as accurate as Israeli ones. While admitting that the rockets can still be dangerous, Steinberg highlights Iran's limited capabilities and the success of Israel in reducing their rocket program last year.
CNN journalist Fred Pleitgen adds that Iran has been weakened, with affiliated organizations being pushed back in recent years and Syria, Iran's ally, no longer fully supporting them. The reliance on the rocket program is due to U.S. sanctions, as Iran has struggled to produce combat aircraft.
Iran reportedly has thousands of ballistic missiles at its disposal, making it a potentially dangerous force. Pleitgen suggests that Iran may be regaining its composure after the initial shock, leading to more air attacks. He acknowledges the danger posed by Iranian rockets despite Germany's role in their production.
Steinberg mentions that Israel's attempts to cripple Iran's nuclear program have been unclear. Deeper underground facilities and inadequate Israeli weapons and aircraft pose challenges in this regard. Steinberg believes that peace talks could commence within two to three weeks, as the U.S. may want to resume negotiations due to Trump's desire to avoid war.
- Middle East Conflict
- Iran
- Israel
- Peace Negotiations
Insights:
- While peace talks have not been formalized, they are plausible due to U.S. interest in avoiding a war and Iran's potential motivation to return to the negotiating table in their weakened state.
- The success of any negotiations would depend on several factors, including international support, domestic policies, the status of Iran's nuclear program, and proxy forces like Hezbollah and Hamas.
- The current conflict between Israel and Iran is complicated by Iran's limited military capabilities and Israel's success in curtailing their rocket program, as well as the possible involvement of third-party nations like Syria and Germany.
The Commission may offer valuable insights on the Middle East Conflict, given that they have been consulted on the draft resolution concerning the European Union's relations with the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, which includes Israel and Iran.
As the peace negotiations between Israel and Iran are still under discussion, it is important to closely monitor war-and-conflicts and politics in the region, as general-news, to understand the potential developments and implications for both parties involved.
