NBA Player Prop Betting Options for Tuesday, May 6th

🤘 Getting ready to break down Tuesday's NBA playoff action! 🏀 Here's my take on the Pacers vs. Cavaliers Game 2 and Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game 1. Sharp and saucy, this article is all about digging up some solid prop picks that'll leave you feeling like a ballin' boss.

Let's get the lowdown on those injuries first:

Cavs: Darius Garland's (toe) and De'Andre Hunter's (thumb) statuses are questionable, while Evan Mobley's (ankle) situation is a mystery at the moment. Keep an eye on their health, as their absences would drastically impact prop markets for both teams. The Pacers will continue to be without Isaiah Jackson (Achilles) for the remainder of the season.
Warriors/Timberwolves: Gary Payton II (illness) is questionable for Golden State, while Rob Dillingham (ankle) is dodgy for Minnesota, but he's currently sitting outside the Wolves' rotation, so his status won't impact things too much.

Now, let's get to the good stuff:

Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 Points (-118, FanDuel)

This play just screams "bet the house!" Mitchell set the tone with a 33-point effort in Game 1, even with a piss-poor 1-of-11 from 3-point land. But let's be real, desertion isn't the only motivator. With the Cavs down 0-1, Mitchell needs to deliver the goods. His 31.38% usage rate during the regular season spikes when key guys like Garland, Mobley, and Hunter are out, and that trend will continue, even if these guys suit up. Mitchell stampeding to the rim is a real threat, and if he's playing for keeps, that number will be out of the bag.

Andrew Nembhard Over 4.5 Assists (-110, DraftKings)

The Wolves are gearing up for a series with depth and defensive flexibility as crucial factors, and Nembhard fit the bill. He's long, athletic, and versatile enough to tackle Golden State's off-ball movement and switch defensively. Look to his solid post season role in Indiana's offense as an indicator of what's to come. He averaged 4.8 assists on 7.6 potential assists across 32.2 minutes in the first round against the Bucks and was a facilitating machine against the Cavs during the regular season. With TJ McConnell on the sidelines, Nembhard is the golden ticket.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 5.5 Points (+110, BetMGM)

Minnesota's jumping into a series where depth and defensive flexibility will be the name of the game, and bonus points if you've got a player with the versatility and athleticism to keep up with Golden State's off-ball movement. NAW could steal the show with strong defense and scoring punch. He's coming off the bench with a history of scoring in bunches when his shot's falling, with 19 points against the Warriors earlier in the season. With more minutes and favorable matchups, this number's got "easily beatable" written all over it. 💰

Mike Conley Under 6.5 Points (-128, Caesars)

Here's the broken record: Golden State's motion offense will create problems for Conley defensively. He's not the most athletic guy out there, and the Warriors' off-ball movement will wear him down. Two quiet outings against the Warriors in the regular season have left a bad taste in my mouth, and I see Conley disappearing again in this series. His scoring role is mostly opportunistic, so the tough matchup and his physical limitations spell trouble. When the Warriors' tempo and spacing are bouncing around like a ping-pong ball, it's hard to see Conley carving out anything substantial.

So there you have it, folks - an unfiltered, balls-to-the-wall breakdown of Tuesday's top NBA player prop picks. Maybe you'll catch the betting bug and play like the boss you were born to be. But remember, neither I nor my theories are guarantees. The NBA's a wild beast, so tread carefully and have a freakin' good time!

💣 On a side note, lemme drop a bit of basketball history on ya: did ya know that Mike Conley was drafted third overall by the Memphis Grizzlies in 2007? That's a pretty swanky spot to be picked, wouldn't ya say?

source:

1. https://www.espn.com/nba/player//id/4496673/darius-garland 2. https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/cleveland-cavs-darius-garland-delivers-game-winning-shot-in-overtime-win-vs-utah-jazz/

_1. https://www.si.com/nba/2023/05/06/nba-playoffs-home-court-advantage-dwindles-as-road-teams-continue-hot-streak2. https://www.acesportscentral.com/nba/expanding-player-prop-coverage3. https://theathleteshub.com/2025-nba-playoffs-betting-guide/4. https://sportsbookreview.com/nba/nba-player-prop-bets/

With the Cavs' Darius Garland potentially unavailable and the Warriors' Gary Payton II questionable, proposition bets on basketball stars Donovan Mitchell and Andrew Nembhard could prove fruitful, considering their increased usage and impact when key teammates are out.
With the Wolves' depth and defensive focus against the Warriors, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's versatility and athleticism offer solid potential for making an impact and contributing to prop bets, particularly in scoring categories.