Ukraine's War: Stoltenberg Doubts Putin's Winning Strategy
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg isn't convinced that Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine will yield the desired results, despite Russia's massive military effort. Speaking to German Press Agency, Stoltenberg reiterated that the aim of President Putin's invasion was to keep Ukraine from joining NATO and the EU. However, he highlighted that Ukraine has moved even closer to these alliances since the conflict began two years ago.
Stoltenberg did not mince words, asserting that "Putin has lost Ukraine forever." For decades, Russia saw Ukraine as part of its sphere of influence. This strategic setback is a significant blow to Russia. The former Norwegian head of government was adamant that Ukraine would eventually become a NATO member.
Russia's heavy price tag
Stoltenberg also stated that Russia is bearing a significant cost for its war. Hundreds of aircraft and thousands of tanks have been lost. About 300,000 servicemen have been injured or killed. Moreover, inflation is rising, and the standard of living is declining. Politically, Russia is more isolated than before.
No signs of a policy shift
Despite predictions that the war might wind down following Putin's probable re-election on March 17, Stoltenberg remained skeptical. He emphasized that there was no indication that Putin would shift his objectives or strategy. Instead, he would continue to vie for additional territory.
Continued support for Ukraine is vital
NATO and its member states should keep supporting Ukraine in its defense efforts, according to Stoltenberg. He pointed out that Ukrainians have proven their capacity to fight back, particularly when receiving military aid from NATO nations like Germany.
Stoltenberg urged allies to examine whether more weapons could be provided to Ukraine by modifying existing agreements with third countries. "We need to ramp up our production to better aid Ukraine and safeguard ourselves," he stated.
Unfulfilled EU artillery shell delivery plan
EU plans to deliver a million artillery shells to Ukraine by spring 2024 face challenges. The primary hurdle is that around 40% of production is being exported to third countries. Stoltenberg posed the question of whether excessive exports are required.
Neutral on potential mobilization
Stoltenberg declined to comment on potential mobilization discussions surrounding Ukraine. "I won't offer President Zelensky advice on conducting the war," he said. "The Ukrainians understand the need for soldiers better than anyone."
Future NATO leadership
Stoltenberg was short on his impending departure as NATO Secretary-General this fall. He spoke highly of outgoing Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte's capability and experience. However, he clarified that it was not within his remit to recommend a successor.
Trump-era concerns dismissed
Regarding the possibility of former US President Donald Trump's return, Stoltenberg appeared unfazed. He expressed confidence that the US would maintain its commitment to the transatlantic partnership, irrespective of the winning candidate. NATO provides the US with unmatched safety and strength, with no other major power offering anything comparable.
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Relevant enrichment data
- Russia faces high costs for its war in Ukraine, including huge financial losses, strategic disadvantages, and diplomatic isolation.
- However, the conflict also provided opportunities for the Russian defense industry, which saw an increase in demand for weapons and equipment.
- Despite talks between the EU and Russia, the former continues to exert influence over Ukraine's post-conflict relations.
- Stoltenberg warned against underestimating Putin's resolve and suggested that Ukraine's defense efforts could push him to change course.
- NATO allies were urged to contribute more to Ukraine's defense, with a particular focus on ramping up weapons production.
