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MLB Wagers: Recommended Wagers for Sunday, May 4th Betting Markets

Smart money investments analyzed for the matchups between Royals-Orioles, Diamondbacks-Phillies, and Cubs-Brewers, as scrutinized by Josh Appelbaum.

Let's wrap up your weekend and delve into a 16-game MLB extravaganza! Here's where we're betting smart with (VSiN MLB Betting Splits), updated every 5 minutes, courtesy of DraftKings and Circa Sports. Absolutely no bullsh*t, just hard-hitting insights.

Gaming the System

  • MLB Daily Lines: Greg Peterson's MLB Daily Lines
  • MLB Odds: Current MLB Odds
  • MLB Betting Splits: Updated MLB Betting Splits direct from DraftKings and Circa Sports

1:35 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles (-140, 9.5)

This rubber match of a three-game series features the Orioles, who managed a 3-0 win as the favored home team in game 1. The Royals bounced back with a 4-0 triumph in the second game. Today, Michael Lorenzen (3-3, 3.48 ERA) pitches for the Royals, while Kyle Gibson (0-1, 22.09) toes the mound for Baltimore. Could be a low-scoring, closer-than-expected game, but money's pouring in for the Orioles. They're the team to back like the mobsters in Vegas, drawing 67% of bets and 99% of dollars.

2:05 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies (-150, 9)

The Phillies own the first two games of this three-game series, victorious with scores of 3-2 and 7-2. Leftie Eduardo Rodriguez (1-3, 6.06 ERA) will start for the D'Backs, while Ranger Suarez (2024 record: 12-8, 3.46 ERA) takes the mound for the Phillies. The smart money's on the Phillies with a heavy 96% of dollars being bet on them, despite only 55% of bets being in their favor.

2:10 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (-120, 7.5) at Milwaukee Brewers

The Cubs claimed both the opening games of this series, 10-0 and 6-2. Cubs lefty Shota Imanaga (3-1, 2.77 ERA) and Brewers righty Freddy Peralta (3-2, 2.52 ERA) go head-to-head. The Wise Guys (you know, the ones from Vegas) is comfortably backing the Cubs for the sweep, pushing their odds up from -110 to -120.

Now, don't be entitled bastards clamoring for data and analysis on historical success rates or ROI for these games. It's a jungle out there, and it's you versus the bookies, tough guy. Make your calls, and may fortune favors the bold—or the bookies, if you're up against it.

Sources

  • BetThePowersports
  • OddsShark
  • SportsHandle
  1. In the MLB game between Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles, while the odds for the Orioles stand at -140, it's the money that's pouring in for this team, with 67% of bets and 99% of the dollars being placed on them.
  2. For the Arizona Diamondbacks versus Philadelphia Phillies match in MLB, despite a lower percentage of bets (55%), an overwhelming 96% of dollars are being wagered on the Phillies, who have a -150 moneyline.
  3. In the MLB series between Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers, the Cubs' odds for the win have risen from -110 to -120, hinting that the 'Wise Guys' are confidently betting on them to secure the sweep.
Financial analyst Josh Appelbaum discusses the investments favored by savvy investors in the upcoming games between the Royals and Orioles, the Diamondbacks and Phillies, and the Cubs and Brewers.

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