Midweek MLB Action: Smart Money Picks for June 11, 2023
MLB Wagering Insights for Wednesday, June 11th: Scouted Selections
Ready for some thrilling baseball action? We've got a mouthwatering slate of 15 games on our plate for tonight, and we're here to help you make informed decisions with our expert analysis, powered by VSiN MLB Betting Splits. Let's dive into three fascinating matchups!
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- Today's MLB Games
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4:07 p.m. ET: Oakland A's at Los Angeles Angels (-145, 9.5)
The Angels have taken the first two games of this series, winning 7-4 as -145 home favorites and then 2-1 in extra innings as -165 home favorites. In the series finale, JP Sears takes the mound for the A's, facing Kyle Hendricks for the Angels. Sharp bettors have jumped on theAngels to complete the sweep, with the line moving from -125 to -145. With 60% of moneyline bets and 71% of moneyline dollars at Circa, this is a clear sign of wisdom guy action supporting the home chalk.
According to our data, home favorites, particularly the Angels here who have made the playoffs the previous season, have gone 64% with a 3% ROI this season. The Angels have been playing better, boasting a 4.75 team ERA over their last ten games compared to the A's 5.31 team ERA. The Angels are 6-0 against the A's this season, and the A's struggle mightily as road dogs, posting a 29% win rate and a -36% ROI.
7:40 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins (-145, 8.5)
The Rangers dominated last night's series opener 16-4, easily cashing as +105 road dogs. Tonight, the Rangers send out Jack Leiter, while the Twins counter with David Festa. Although the public is evenly split, pro money has sided with the Twins, pushing the line from -130 to -145. Circa reports that the Twins are receiving 69% of moneyline bets and a whopping 94% of moneyline dollars, indicating sharp action on the home team.
Historically, home favorites who made the playoffs the previous season, like the Twins, have gone 64% with a 3% ROI this season. The Twins are stronger offensively against righties (.249) compared to the Rangers (.228), and they perform better at home (.250) compared to the Rangers on the road (.224). Festa has a solid 1.38 ERA at home but struggles on the road (19.64 ERA). It's worth noting that the Rangers are 4-16 (27%) with a -42% ROI as road dogs this season.
7:40 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (-125, 9) at Kansas City Royals
The Yankees trounced the Royals 10-2 in last night's series opener, winning as -200 road favorites. Tonight, the matchup features Clarke Schmidt for the Yankees against Kris Bubic for the Royals. Despite the public favoring the Royals, sharps have backed the Yankees, moving the line from -120 to -125. At Circa, the Yankees are taking just 45% of moneyline bets but a massive 92% of moneyline dollars, another sign of sharp action.
The Yankees are strong favorites, with a 66% win rate and 5% ROI as favorites this season. However, there's value to consider since the lack of familiarity between division opponents benefits the better team, who is expected to win. The Yankees have a more explosive offense, hitting .261 with 107 homers and 359 runs compared to the Royals' .253, 45 homers, and 228 runs. The Yankees perform notably well against lefties (.271), while the Royals are solid against righties (.241).
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Enrichment Data:
- Overall: The query appeared to focus on June 11, 2023, but the data provided was based on 2025 games due to a discrepancy in the provided results. To obtain accurate historical data from 2023, consult specific sports betting platforms or archives from that year.
- 2025 Trends: For clarification, the provided data was based on 2025 games.
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In the midweek MLB action on June 11, 2023, sharp bettors have targeted the Los Angeles Angels as a smart play to complete a series sweep against the Oakland A's, with the line shifting from -125 to -145. According to historical data, home favorites, particularly playoff teams like the Angels, have been successful, with a 64% win rate and a 3% ROI this season.
In the Texas Rangers versus Minnesota Twins matchup, pro money has shifted towards the Twins, with 94% of moneyline dollars supporting the home team. Historically, playoff home favorites have fared well, with a 64% win rate and a 3% ROI this season. The Twins' offense excels against righties and performs better at home, while Festa has a solid 1.38 ERA at home but struggles on the road.
As for the New York Yankees, despite the public favoring the Kansas City Royals, sharp action has backed the Yankees, moving the line from -120 to -125. The Yankees boast a strong 66% win rate and 5% ROI as favorites this season. With a more explosive offense, the Yankees are expected to perform well against the Royals, who are solid against righties.
For more predicted matchups and betting advice, check out MLB Best Bets Today, MLB Top Picks Based on Betting Splits, Power Ratings and Trends, and MLB Picks Today: Greg Peterson Best Bets for June 11, 2023.
