MLB Predictions for Today: Top Picks by Greg Peterson on July 1st
In the world of baseball betting, Greg Peterson, a renowned expert handicapper, is sharing his top MLB picks for July 1. His strategy revolves around leveraging detailed statistical systems that analyze betting splits, power ratings, bullpen strength, and pitcher matchups.
In the first game of the day, the Oakland Athletics face the Tampa Bay Rays at 7:05 PM Eastern. Despite both teams having starting pitchers with high ERAs - Shane Baz of the Rays (4.37) and Jeffrey Springs of the Athletics (4.30) - the Rays' offense, ranked sixth in scoring with 4.8 runs per game, offers a promising outlook. Greg's Handicapped Total for this game is 9.3, suggesting a pick for the Over 8.5 Runs.
The Athletics' bullpen, however, is struggling, holding the worst ERA in the league at 5.93. In contrast, the Rays' bullpen ranks seventh with a 3.55 ERA. This disparity in bullpen strength could be a factor to consider.
The second game of the day pits the Baltimore Orioles against the Texas Rangers at 8:05 PM Eastern. The Rangers' starting pitcher, Jacob deGrom, has a strong ERA of 2.08, with two runs or fewer allowed in 13 straight starts. However, the Orioles' starting pitcher, Brandon Young, has a high ERA of 7.11 in three starts.
Interestingly, the Rangers' offense is averaging just 3.5 runs per game at home this season, which is second-worst in the league. Meanwhile, the Rangers' bullpen ranks 24th with a 4.54 ERA. Greg's picks for this game favour the Rangers, with a Run Line -1.5 and an Over 7 Runs, indicating potential value in these bets.
Greg Peterson, host of "The Baseball Betting Show," provides daily MLB odds, lines, and predictions, emphasizing quick, clear, and actionable wagering insights around game sides and totals. He aims to help bettors understand and apply advanced stats and wagering angles.
While specific results for July 1, 2021, are not detailed in the provided data, Greg's disciplined, data-driven method, which historically has positive expected value, especially when following his systemic plays on favorites and bullpen-based underdogs, is worth considering.
1.Based on Greg Peterson's handicapped total of 9.3, the Over 8.5 Runs seems promising for the first game of the day between the Oakland Athletics and the Tampa Bay Rays, as the Rays' offense has a higher scoring average and their bullpen ERA is better compared to the Athletics.
- In the second game of the day between the Baltimore Orioles and the Texas Rangers, Greg Peterson's Run Line -1.5 and Over 7 Runs picks suggest potential value, considering Jacob deGrom's strong performance and the Orioles' poor-scoring and high-ERA home performance, alongside the struggling Rangers' bullpen.
