MLB Picks Today, May 5: Top Betting Predictions and Analysis
MLB Predictions and Picks for May 5: Insights, betting odds, and advice for today's matches
Welcome back to another day of MLB action! With ten games on the schedule tonight, we've rounded up our top picks to help you make the most of your bets. Here are the games we're focusing on:
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves (-148, 8.5)
7:15 p.m. ET
After a disappointing 3-4 homestand, the Reds are back on the road to take on the Braves. Brady Singer gets the call for Cincinnati, and while his numbers haven't been awful, we're seeing some red flags. A .244 BABIP is significantly lower than his career mark, and with an increasing number of fly balls, we're concerned about how he'll fare in Atlanta's warm, humid conditions.
On the other side, AJ Smith-Shawver is taking the mound for the Braves with a 4.26 ERA, 6.53 xERA, and a 4.23 FIP in 19 innings of work. His highest career marks in Hard Hit%, Barrel%, and Exit Velocity are a cause for concern, especially with the Reds' strong offense.
With the Reds' offense looking solid and Singer’s potential regression, we’re leaning towards the Braves here.
Picks: Braves 1st 5 Team Total Over 2.5 (+110), Braves Team Total Over 4.5 (-105), Reds/Braves Over 8.5 (-115)
New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks (-120, 9.5)
9:40 p.m. ET
Fresh off a long day in St. Louis and a late-night arrival in Phoenix, both teams are back in action for a rematch against each other following their series last week in New York. Griffin Canning has impressed this season, but his recent trends are concerning. In his last three starts, his four-seam fastball usage has climbed to 40%, which is a career high, and he's seen a significant increase in fly balls, leading to an 8.0% HR/FB%.
Ryne Nelson gets the nod for Arizona, despite Corbin Burnes skipping his start due to shoulder discomfort. Nelson has a 5.82 ERA in 17 innings, but his FIP and xERA suggest that he's thrown the ball effectively. The Diamondbacks boast a strong offense, ranking third in wOBA against RHP and tied for the league lead in homers in that split.
With Canning's recent struggles and the Diamondbacks' potent offense, we're leaning towards Arizona in this matchup.
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- Sports experts anticipate higher-than-usual odds for the Atlanta Braves in their match against the Cincinnati Reds, as the Reds have struggled on the road and Brady Singer's performance may regress due to some concerning indicators.
- In the game between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks, expert picks favor the Diamondbacks, as Griffin Canning's recent trends and Arizona's strong offense may give them an advantage over the Mets.
- For those considering sports betting on MLB games today, May 5, the match between the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves stands out, with the Braves offering attractive odds for their first 5 team total and team total over 4.5 runs.
- As baseball enthusiasts prepare for overnight MLB action, they should note that the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks are facing off again, following a series last week that saw the Diamondbacks performing impressively against the Mets.
- Amidst the latest MLB action, it's interesting to consider the ongoing performance of the Arizona Diamondbacks' offense, which leads the league in homers against right-handed pitchers and boasts a strong wOBA score against this split.
