MLB Matchup Forecast: Phillies versus Reds, Odds, air time; Predicted Wins, Top Wagers for August 11, Based on Reliable Model
In the National League, the Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds will face off on Monday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET.
The latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook show Cincinnati as a -124 moneyline favorite, with the over/under set at 9.5 runs.
The Reds have been performing well at home this season, with a record of 33-26. On the other hand, the Phillies have won three of the past four meetings and are currently on a three-game winning streak. They have a road record of 31-28 in 2025.
Gavin Lux, one of Cincinnati's top hitters, has been impressive this season. He boasts a .274 batting average, 20 doubles, 42 RBI, 42 walks, and 90 strikeouts in 104 games. In Friday's loss to the Pirates, Lux had a 3-for-4 performance with a double and two runs scored. He also had a similar performance with a double in Thursday's loss at Pittsburgh.
Bryce Harper, a key contributor to Philadelphia's offense, has a .260 batting average, 26 doubles, 17 homers, 49 RBI, and 51 runs scored in 89 games. Harper recently had a 3-for-4 performance with a homer, two RBI, and two runs scored in a loss to the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 2.
Philadelphia is expected to start right-hander Taijuan Walker (4-5, 3.53 ERA) in the matchup. Andrew Abbott, a left-hander with an 8-2 record and a 2.34 ERA, is expected to start for the Reds.
SportsLine’s model simulating the game 10,000 times suggests a close matchup but favors the Reds slightly due to home advantage and odds lines. Betting advice suggests considering the Reds on the moneyline at home or waiting for run line plays depending on pitcher analysis. The total runs at 9.5 indicate expectation of a moderately high-scoring game. Checking latest pitching reports and lineups before final bets is advisable.
The game can be streamed on Fubo.
[1] CBS Sports - Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Picks and Predictions [2] DraftKings Sportsbook - Phillies vs. Reds Odds [3] ESPN - Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Picks and Predictions for August 12, 2025 [4] Yahoo Sports - Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Picks and Predictions for August 13, 2025 [5] SportsLine - Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Picks and Predictions for August 13, 2025
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