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MLB Home Run Predictions and Betting Lines for August 1: Luis Robert standout among top choices for Friday's HR prop wagers

Inside the Lines crew has consistently offered nightly bets for home runs all season, amassing over 40 units of profit. For more free daily picks across various sports, consult the Inside the Lines blog daily.

Predicted Home Run Picks, Betting Lines, and Odds for August 1: Luis Robert Among Top Choices for...
Predicted Home Run Picks, Betting Lines, and Odds for August 1: Luis Robert Among Top Choices for Friday's HR Player Propositions

MLB Home Run Predictions and Betting Lines for August 1: Luis Robert standout among top choices for Friday's HR prop wagers

In the world of Major League Baseball (MLB) betting, August 1, 2025, promises an exciting day of home run prop bets. Two players, in particular, have caught the attention of bettors and experts alike: Nick Castellanos (Philadelphia Phillies) and Jordan Beck (Colorado Rockies).

With +520 and +440 odds respectively, these players are the top picks for home run props on this day. The attention they've received is noteworthy, as expert handicappers have been focusing more on moneyline and run total bets, such as Greg Peterson's picks for the Reds moneyline and the Brewers over 9 runs.

BettingPros have also highlighted a longshot home run prop with +475 odds, but the player in question remains unspecified.

As for Luis Robert of the White Sox, our website's Projection Model is targeting his home run prop, with odds of +440 against the Angels. Jazz Chisholm Jr., facing his former team, the Miami Marlins, and Janson Junk, a former Yankees prospect, has +475 odds to homer.

It's important to note that detailed player-specific projections for home run props can often be found in specialized prop betting tools and daily handicapper podcasts. If you're seeking probability percentages or expected home runs, these are typically obtained from advanced prop models or betting platforms that use player splits and pitcher matchups.

In the case of Luis Robert, his strong performance in July (batting .353 with a .990 OPS) and his history against left-handed pitchers (currently hitting .297 with a .990 OPS) make him an attractive prospect. Robert is 2-for-5 with two doubles in his career against Tyler Anderson, who hasn't been performing at his best lately.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s value in the home run prop market comes from potential matchups against the Marlins' bullpen, which is slightly below league average. Jazz is 1-for-1 in his career against Janson Junk, the pitcher he'll be facing.

Our website's model has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season, and it's targeting Jazz Chisholm's MLB home run prop. The New York Yankees, playing without superstar Aaron Judge due to an elbow injury, are heavy favorites against the Marlins.

MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks. Be sure to check out specialized prop betting tools and daily handicapper podcasts for more detailed player-specific projections.

  1. The MLB betting landscape is buzzing about the home run prop bets in August 1, 2025, particularly focusing on Nick Castellanos and Jordan Beck, who have +520 and +440 odds respectively.
  2. While expert handicappers have shown interest in moneyline and run total bets, such as Greg Peterson's picks for the Reds moneyline and the Brewers over 9 runs, these players stand out.
  3. BettingPros have identified a longshot home run prop with +475 odds, but the player has yet to be disclosed.
  4. The Projection Model predicts Luis Robert's home run prop against the Angels, with +440 odds, making him an attractive choice.
  5. Jazz Chisholm Jr., facing his former team, the Miami Marlins, and Janson Junk, a former Yankees prospect, has +475 odds to homer.
  6. Detailed player-specific projections for home run props can often be found in specialized prop betting tools and daily handicapper podcasts.
  7. Advanced prop models and betting platforms that use player splits and pitcher matchups are typically used to obtain probability percentages or expected home runs.
  8. Luis Robert's strong performance in July and his history against left-handed pitchers make him an appealing choice, as he's 2-for-5 with two doubles in his career against Tyler Anderson.
  9. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s value in the home run prop market comes from potential matchups against the Marlins' below-average bullpen, and he is 1-for-1 in his career against Janson Junk.
  10. The website's model has predicted two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season, targeting Jazz Chisholm's MLB home run prop, along with the New York Yankees, who are heavy favorites against the Marlins without Aaron Judge due to an elbow injury.

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