MLB Game Prediction for July 31, 2025: Rangers versus Mariners - Odds, Props, Top Bets & Free Picks
On Thursday, August 2, 2025, the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers will square off in an exciting American League West showdown at T-Mobile Park.
The Mariners are currently favored to win, with moneyline odds around -150 to -190, while the Rangers are underdogs with odds around +130 to +160. The run line is close, with Mariners favored by about -1.5 runs and totals set around 7.5 to 8 runs, with a slight lean towards the under.
Julio Rodriguez (J-Rod) of the Mariners is a key player to watch. He has been excelling against the Rangers this season, hitting .359 with multiple home runs in nine games, and showing strong recent power with five home runs in 14 games post All-Star break. His home run prop odds are +450, reflecting his hot streak and good matchup against Texas' pitcher Leiter.
Corey Seager is also notable, batting .269 with 15 home runs this season and a strong recent hitting streak, going over 0.5 hits in 12 of his last 15 games.
On the pitching front, Mariners’ starter Logan Gilbert has been strong at home, featuring a WHIP of 0.90 and opposing batting average under .200 in recent starts at T-Mobile Park. Texas' pitcher, Leiter, has issues with right-handed hitters, giving up a high on-base percentage (.361 OBP), which is concerning given Seattle’s lineup strength against righties.
Cal Raleigh, currently first in the MLB in home runs (41) and tied for first in RBI (87), is also expected to make an impact. The model projects him to have 1.8 total bases on Thursday. In his last game on July 28 against the A's, Cal Raleigh went 2-of-4 with one run driven in.
George Kirby, the starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners, has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 4.50. The model predicts that he will toss 5.4 K's in this tilt. However, George Kirby has thrown four or fewer strikeouts in his past two starts against Texas.
Kumar Rocker will be the starting pitcher for the Texas Rangers, with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 5.73. The Texas Rangers' bullpen has struggled recently, with a high expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) of 4.20 in the past month, further favoring Mariners' hitters.
The first pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. The over/under for total runs scored in the game is 7.5.
In summary, betting predictions favor the Mariners, with Julio Rodriguez and Corey Seager expected to perform well offensively, and Logan Gilbert showing promise to generate strikeouts and limit runs. The total runs line is set near 7.5 with a slight lean towards the under. The Rangers' pitching weaknesses against the Mariners lineup are key factors underpinning these predictions.
In the upcoming MLB game on August 2, 2025, between the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers, the Mariners are favored to win, with Julio Rodriguez and Corey Seager being key players to watch. Rodriguez has been hitting exceptionally well against the Rangers this season, while Seager has a strong recent hitting streak. On the pitching side, Logan Gilbert of the Mariners has been effective at home, and Texas' pitcher Leiter struggles against right-handed hitters, including the Seattle lineup. Meanwhile, Cal Raleigh, the MLB leader in home runs and RBI, is expected to make an impact. The game starts at 9:40 p.m. ET, and the over/under for total runs scored is 7.5, with a slight lean towards the under. The Mariners' win, Rodriguez's home run prop odds, and the Rangers' bullpen struggles are factors contributing to the betting predictions favoring the Mariners.
