MLB Game Prediction: Cubs opposing Orioles on August 1, 2025 - Forecast, odds, props, and top bets from a reliable model, offering free picks for the encounter
Chicago Cubs Face Baltimore Orioles in Friday Matinee at Wrigley Field
The Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles are set to square off in a Friday afternoon matchup at Wrigley Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET. The Cubs, currently one game behind the Brewers in the NL Central, have a record of 63-45, while the Orioles, who were sellers at the trade deadline, sit at 50-59.
According to the Projection Model, the money line favors the Cubs at around -205 to -207, with the Orioles as underdogs at approximately +168 to +171. However, one model sees value in the Orioles at +127 to +130 given the pitching matchups. Trevor Rogers, who has given up a total of three earned runs over the course of his past four starts, will take the mound for Baltimore, while Cade Horton (4-3, 3.67 ERA) will start for Chicago.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 to 8 runs, but the model projects about 9.3 total combined runs, indicating a strong lean to the Over. Specifically, Over 7.5 runs is favored, which hits more than 60% of the time in simulations despite some weather factors like wind blowing in.
Despite being underdogs, the Orioles have a 46% chance of winning the game, according to the Projection Model, making them an intriguing underdog pick. The Cubs, on the other hand, have a record of 63-45, but the model suggests that the Orioles may offer better value on the money line.
In their last game, the Orioles scored eight runs, and Rogers' strong pitching performance has made them competitive despite being underdogs. The line for total runs scored is either 7 or 7.5 runs, depending on the book, and the model favors the Over 7.5 due to the expected high-scoring game.
In summary, while the Projection Model picks the Cubs to win, it recommends the Orioles money line for value, along with the Over 7.5 runs bet. As always, it's important to do your own research and make informed decisions when placing bets.
[1] Projection Model MLB Predictions for Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles Game on Friday, August 2, 2025
[2] Trevor Rogers Leads Baltimore Orioles as Underdogs Against Chicago Cubs
[3] Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: Over 7.5 Runs is the Best Bet According to Projection Model
[4] MLB Expert Bruce Marshall's Picks for Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles Game on Friday, August 2, 2025
[5] Baltimore Orioles' Trevor Rogers Pitching Matchups Offer Value to Underdog Money Line Pick
[1] The Projection Model predicts the Chicago Cubs to face the Baltimore Orioles on Friday, August 2, 2025, with the Cubs as slight favorites, but the Model sees value in the Orioles' money line.
[2] Trevor Rogers leads the Baltimore Orioles as underdogs against the Chicago Cubs in their matchup on Friday, August 2, 2025.
[3] In the Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles game on Friday, August 2, 2025, the Projection Model recommends betting on Over 7.5 runs due to the expected high-scoring game.
[4] For those seeking expert advice on the Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles game on Friday, August 2, 2025, Bruce Marshall offers his picks.
[5] Despite being underdogs, the Baltimore Orioles' Trevor Rogers' strong pitching performance offers value to the underdog money line pick in the Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles game on Friday, August 2, 2025.
