MLB Gambling Insights for May 5th: Select Bets Based on Betting Splits

Get Ready for a Action-Packed Weeknight!Let's dive into the remaining MLB action on this Friday night, using our super sharp VSiN MLB Betting Splits from DraftKings and Circa Sports. These puppies are updated every 5 minutes.

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6:40 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (-200, 9.5) at Miami Marlins

The Dodgers (23-11) just split their series with the Braves but lost the last game 4-3 as -140 road dogs. In comparison, the Marlins (13-20) lost two out of three against the A's, dropping the last game 3-2 as home favorites.

Tonight's matchup features Ben Casparius (3-0, 2.91 ERA) for the Dodgers versus Sandy Alcantara (2-3, 8.31 ERA) for the Marlins.

This line started as the Dodgers being -165 road favorites and the Marlins being +140 underdogs. However, smart money loves the Dodgers and has driven up their odds to -200. This. Is. A Sign.

At DraftKings, the Dodgers are receiving a whopping 90% of moneyline bets and dollars. At Circa Sports, it's even worse, with the Dodgers taking 75% of bets and a monumental 98% of dollars. Both books are feeling the heat with one-way support on the road chalk.

Favorites who came off a loss, just like the Dodgers here, have been winning at an impressive 62% clip and still have a respectable 4% ROI this season. Favorites who made the playoffs the year prior and have line movement On Their Side are even more lethal, going 67-59 with an 8% ROI. When both teams are fresh from losing yesterday, the favorite is kings - providing an impressive 70% win rate and a hefty 14% ROI.

The Dodgers have more firepower, smashing 54 homers and scoring an impressive 182 runs. Compared to the Marlins, who have managed only 30 homers and 147 runs.

The Dodgers have a commanding 3-0 record against the Marlins this season. And if you remember, Alcantara went up against the Dodgers a week ago and got eviscerated, allowing 7 earned runs in a pitiful 2.2 innings, resulting in a loss 15-2. Yikes!

7:40 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs (-170, 7.5)

The Giants (22-13) have just swept the Rockies, taking the last game 9-3 as -400 home favorites. In contrast, the Cubs (21-14) went 2-1 against the Brewers but lost the last game 4-0 as road dogs.

In tonight's contest, Landen Roupp (2-2, 5.10 ERA) leads the Giants while Matthew Boyd (2-2, 2.70 ERA) steps up for the Cubs.

The opening line had the Cubs at -145 and the Giants at +130. However, the line has steadily shifted towards the Cubs, whom sharp money seems to favor, driving their odds up to -170.

At DraftKings, the Cubs are getting 79% of bets and 85% of dollars. The bet split at Circa is a "low bets, higher dollars" contrarian play, with the Cubs grabbing 60% of bets and a solid 81% of dollars.

Home favorites who lost their last game, just like the Cubs here, have overperformed, winning at an impressive 64% rate with a 6% ROI. Home favorites with a winning record are even more impressive, going 118-58, with an astonishing 8% ROI. On Mondays, home favorites who made the playoffs the year prior and have line movement in their direction have been an untouchable 82-47, with a 6% ROI. And if everything's pointing towards a win, including both teams having a winning record, the favorite is a snug 63-26, with a cool 7% ROI.

The Cubs have the advantage in offense, hitting .262 with 52 homers and an impressive 208 runs. In contrast, the Giants have been disappointing at the plate, with a measly .231 average and only 37 homers, scoring 164 runs.

The Cubs are hitting .255 against righties this season, placing them at number 8 in the league. The Giants, not so much, only hitting .220 against lefties, leaving them weak at 22nd in the league.

Boyd has been a force to be reckoned with this season, giving up 2 earned runs or less in 4 out of 6 starts, sporting a record of 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA at home. Win a bet on the Cubs and buy Boyd a beer!

9:40 p.m. ET: New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks (-120, 9.5)

The Mets (22-13) dropped their series to the Cards and got swept in yesterday's doubleheader, losing the first game 6-5 as -122 road favorites and the second game 5-4 as -160 dogs. The 'Zona Diamonds (18-16) avoided getting swept by the Phillies, pulling off an 11-9 extras win yesterday as +130 dogs.

In tonight's game, the Mets set Griffin Canning (4-1, 2.61 ERA) against Ryne Nelson (1-0, 5.82 ERA) for the Snakes.

When this line opened, the Mets were slight favorites at -115, but the Diamondbacks got a boost, driving their line up to -120, signaling a strong move in their favor indicative of sharps backing the home team.

Now, while the public can't stop supporting the Mets, receiving 65% of bets at DraftKings, line movement in the Diamondbacks' direction is telling, with their odds flipping to -120. This could mean value in fading the cheering crowd and supporting the underdog Diamondbacks.

At DraftKings, the Diamondbacks are catching a surprising 35% of bets but a hefty 47% of dollars. This split indicates a sharp contrarian bet in favor of the Snakes.

If home favorites tickle your fancy and have a history of winning, then listen up - non-division home favorites off a win with steam going 86-37 with an impressive 12% ROI this season. Non-division home favorites with line movement earning a full 5 cents or more are trending at 61-28 with a solid 10% ROI. And if you can find yourself a Monday home favorite with line movement in their favor, enjoy watching a 18-5 record with a 25% ROI. When both teams are above .500, that favorite might as well be a lock, providing a 70% win rate and a decent 7% ROI.

The Snakes could prove to be a successful underdog bet, enjoying an advantage against teams they are unfamiliar with and being the "better" team expected to win. Plus, the Mets are on the road after a doubleheader and traveling to Arizona, potentially experiencing a degree of exhaustion.Revising for Clarity:

Get ready for this exciting Friday night lineup in the interesting matchups between the Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants, and New York Mets. Using our VSiN betting splits, we're keeping an eye on critical data from DraftKings and Circa Sports to dial in the action.

In the first game, the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) look to continue their dominance against the Miami Marlins. Risers on smart money accumulated on the Dodgers, driving their odds to a hefty -200.

Next up, the San Francisco Giants are on the road against the Chicago Cubs (-170). Lastly, the New York Mets take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in a tight (-120) game.

We've delved into the trends, finding significant advantages in home favorites, especially when facing losing teams - like the Dodgers and Cubs. Smart money might be backing the road dogs in the Mets-Diamondbacks game. Don't miss out on the chance to cash in on these unique opportunities.

Tonight, the Dodgers (-200) face the Marlins in a highly anticipated matchup, with a significant increase in odds due to smart money favoring them.
In the contest between the Giants and Cubs, sharp money seems to be backing the Cubs (-170), despite the Giants having recently swept their series at home.
The Mets encounter the Diamondbacks (-120) in an intriguing matchup, as home favorites with line movement in their favor have proven to be a profitable bet this season, indicating the potential value in supporting the underdog Diamondbacks.