MLB Choices, Forecasts, and Longshot Wagers for July 31Thursday: Invest in the Yankees and these two underdog bets
MLB Projection Model Predictions for August 1, 2025
The MLB Projection Model, renowned for simulating every MLB game 10,000 times to generate betting predictions, has not explicitly released its top picks for Thursday, August 1. However, expert sources like the SportsLine Projection Model and betting shows such as Total Bases provide daily insights and betting advice based on advanced statistics and simulations.
For instance, on August 2, the model favored the Reds (+104) over the Braves (-124) in a major game at Bristol Motor Speedway, backed the Nationals (+154) against the Brewers, and recommended an over 8.5 total runs alternate line for Phillies vs. Tigers. For Dodgers vs Rays on August 2, the model had Los Angeles as a -136 favorite with a total runs over/under of 8.5, but the specific run line pick was not detailed.
To find the precise MLB Projection Model top picks for Thursday’s games—including money line, over/under, and run line predictions—you would typically visit SportsLine or similar analytic sports betting platforms that publish daily simulated outcomes and recommended bets based on 10,000 game simulations per matchup. Unfortunately, these detailed Thursday picks are not explicitly available in the current search excerpts.
For betting insights, watching shows like Total Bases also offers expert betting tips, line updates, and analysis on priority MLB matchups on a daily basis, including picks and trends relevant for the day.
Junior Caminero, a player to watch, has recorded at least two total bases in 46 games this season. The model predicts that Junior Caminero records 2 total bases on average. Additionally, Junior Caminero has 47 extra-base hits this season and launched his 27th homer of the season on Monday. The model strongly recommends betting on Junior Caminero over 1.5 total bases, with a payout of +135.
Matt Olson, another standout player, has 277 home runs 10 years into his MLB career. Matt Olson has recorded at least two total bases in seven of his last 13 games. The model predicts that Matt Olson finishes with 1.9 total bases on average. Matt Olson faces left-hander Andrew Abbott on Thursday. The model rates Matt Olson over 1.5 total bases at 4.5 stars.
The MLB schedule for Thursday includes three games: Yankees vs. Rays at 1:05 p.m. ET, Reds vs. Braves at 7:10 p.m. ET, and Mariners vs. Rangers at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Yankees money line against the Rays is one of the model's best longshot bets for Thursday, with odds of -110. The Yankees are predicted to win 53% of simulations in the matchup against the Rays.
Combining the model's top three picks for Thursday's MLB slate could result in a payout of +842. There are additional MLB picks available for today from the model and expert Bruce Marshall.
The matchup between Marcus Stroman and Ryan Pepiot is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.
- The MLB Projection Model, known for simulating each MLB game 10,000 times for betting predictions, hasn't yet disclosed its top picks for Thursday, August 1.
- Expert sources like the SportsLine Projection Model and shows such as Total Bases offer daily insights and betting advice based on advanced statistics and simulations.
- On August 2 last season, the model favored the Reds (+104) over the Braves (-124), the Nationals (+154) against the Brewers, and recommended an over 8.5 total runs alternate line for Phillies vs. Tigers.
- Detailed MLB Projection Model top picks for Thursday’s games—including money line, over/under, and run line predictions—are usually found on SportsLine or similar analytic sports betting platforms.
- Junior Caminero, who has recorded at least two total bases in 46 games this season, is predicted by the model to record 2 total bases on average, and betting on him over 1.5 total bases is recommended with a payout of +135.
- Matt Olson, with 277 home runs 10 years into his MLB career, is predicted by the model to finish with 1.9 total bases on average, and the model rates Matt Olson over 1.5 total bases at 4.5 stars.
- The Yankees money line against the Rays on Thursday is one of the model's best longshot bets, with odds of -110, as the Yankees are predicted to win 53% of simulations in the matchup against the Rays.
