MLB Betting Trends for Friday, June 27th: Insights and Wager Recommendations

MLB Betting Trends for Friday, June 27th: Insights and Wager Recommendations

Let's Wrap Up the Week with a 15-Game MLB Action Extravaganza! Join us as we delve into the juicy world of sports betting, taking a closer look at three intriguing matchups using our Superior MLB Betting Splits. These bad boys are updated every 5-minutes, pulling data directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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7:10 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers (-125, 8.5)

The Twins (39-42) just squeaked by the Mariners, winning the series finale 10-1 as -135 home favorites, while the Tigers (51-31) cruised to an 8-0 victory against the Athletics, sitting pretty as -155 home favorites.

In tonight's series opener, the Twins toss out righty David Festa (1-2, 6.39 ERA) and the Tigers counter with Sawyer Gipson-Long (0-0, 4.58 ERA). Originally priced as a -115 home favorite, the Tigers have been backed by sharks who've steamed them up to -125.

At Circa, the Tigers are receiving 83% of moneyline bets and an eye-catching 98% of moneyline dollars, indicative of a "low bets, higher dollars" sharp bet split. Home favorites who made the playoffs the previous season and have gained line movement in their favor are 172-80 (68%) with an 8% ROI. Boasting the 4th best home favorite record in MLB, the Tigers are 23-9 (72%) with a 13% ROI as a home favorite. Facing a team that missed the playoffs the previous season, the Tigers have an impressive 34-16 (68%) record, sporting a 16% ROI.

With a more explosive offense, the Tigers slug it out at .254, cranking 100 homers and scoring 410 runs compared to the Twins' .243 average, 93 homers, and 347 runs scored. The Tigers have been on a roll lately, hitting .272 with a 4.15 ERA over their last ten games, while the Twins have batted a comparatively lackluster .251 with a 6.55 ERA. Gipson-Long holds a 3.00 ERA at home and a 4.91 ERA on the road, while Festa has struggled in June, posting a 10.00 ERA and allowing 20 earned runs in 18 innings. Home advantage has proven crucial to the Tigers, who sport a 28-13 record at Comerica Park.

7:10 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals (-130, 8.5) at Cleveland Guardians

The Cardinals (44-38) suffered a 3-0 shutout loss in the series finale against the Cubs, while the Guardians (40-39) dropped two of three against the Blue Jays, falling 6-0 as -135 home favorites.

Tonight, the Cardinals throw out Sonny Gray (7-2, 3.72 ERA) and the Guardians lean on Luis Ortiz (4-8, 4.30 ERA). With Gray demonstrating a commanding 12-3 record in 15 starts this season, and sharks backing the Cardinals, they've been steamed up from -125 to -130.

At Circa, the Cardinals are receiving 75% of moneyline bets but an unbalanced 98% of moneyline dollars, a marked "low bets, higher dollars" sharp discrepancy. Road favorites coming off a shutout loss have been highly successful, with a 21-9 (70%) record, generating a 21% ROI. The Cardinals have a distinct edge in offense, hitting .253 with 382 runs scored, compared to the Guardians' .229 average and 297 runs scored. Facing righties, the Cardinals' .261 average places them 3rd in the league, while the Guardians struggle, hitting .231.

7:15 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-175, 9.5)

The Phillies (47-34) got swept by the Astros, losing the finale 2-1 as +130 road dogs, while the Braves (37-43) split a series against the Mets, falling 4-0 as +100 road dogs.

In tonight's series opener, the Phillies send out Mick Abel (2-1, 3.47 ERA) and the Braves tap Bryce Elder (2-4, 4.77 ERA). The line opened at -140 for the Braves, but sharks have taken notice, steaming them up to -175.

At Circa, the Braves' allure has attracted 60% of moneyline bets and a whopping 97% of moneyline dollars, reflecting a significant "low bets, higher dollars" bet split. Home favorites who made the playoffs the previous season and have gained line movement are 172-80 (68%) with an 8% ROI, and home favorites who made the playoffs the previous season and are facing a fellow playoff participant have an 85-40 (68%) record with a 14% ROI. Soaring at .257 at home, the Braves present a formidable force, while the Phillies struggle on the road, batting only .235. The Braves have an outstanding 12-5 (71%) record when priced as a home favorite at -175 or higher.

1. For the MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cleveland Guardians, the Cardinals, backed by shrewd bettors, have been steamed up from -125 to -130, despite the Guardians having a home advantage.
2. In the matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers, the Tigers have attracted a significant amount of moneyline dollars (98%), indicating a "low bets, higher dollars" sharp bet split, despite initially being priced as a -115 home favorite.
3. In sports betting, Home favorites who made the playoffs the previous season and have gained line movement in their favor, such as the Detroit Tigers in their game against the Minnesota Twins, have an impressive 172-80 (68%) record, generating an 8% ROI.

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