MLB Betting Tips Highlighting Saturday's Games on May 3rd

Weekend’s here, and it's a jam-packed 15-game MLB schedule. Let's dive into where the big bucks are pouring in for three exciting matchups, using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits. These bad boys are updated every 5 minutes straight from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

Top MLB Resources:

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2:15 p.m. ET: New York Mets (-150, 8.5) at St. Louis Cardinals

The Mets (22-11) nabbed last night's series opener 9-3, dominating as -120 road warriors.

In tonight's re match, Tylor Megill (3-2, 1.74 ERA) takes the mound for the Mets, while Erick Fedde (1-3, 4.68 ERA) rises for the Cardinals (14-19).

Initially, the Mets were -140 road faves, with the Cardinals being +120 underdogs. Sly operators are loving the Mets' hot form and have ramped up the chalk, pushing NY up to -150. Some aren’t shy about wagering –155.

At DraftKings, the Mets are taking 86% of moneyline bets and 90% of moneyline dough. Over at Circa, the Mets are in for 90% of moneyline bets and an overwhelming 99% of moneyline dinero. Both books highlight high-roller, one-way "low bets, higher dollars" support for another Mets win on the road.

Favs with line movement in their direction are 209-113 (65%) with a 7% ROI this season. Favs who made the playoffs the prior season are 157-85 (65%) with a 5% ROI. Saturday faves with a winning record are 24-11 (69%) with an 11% ROI.

The Mets outshine the Cardinals in the 'pen, with an ERA of 3.18 (8th best) compared to 4.73 (worsening horror show, 5th worst). The Cardinals dropped five games in Fedde's April starts, with a 5.40 ERA allowing 16 runs.

4:10 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox (-115, 9.5)

Last night, the Red Sox (18-16) won the series opener 6-1, handling business as -120 favourites at home.

Tonight, in this late afternoon duel, Bailey Ober (3-1, 4.13 ERA) steps up for the Twins, and Hunter Dobbins (2-0, 2.45 ERA) answers for the Red Sox.

The Red Sox were initially a short -110 home fave, with the Twins a +100 road dog. Cunning wiseguys have privately sided with Boston, driving them up to -115. Some are nudging toward -120.

DraftKings reports the Red Sox claimed 75% of moneyline bets and 80% of moneyline moolah. At Circa, the Red Sox are receiving 67% of moneyline bets and 82% of moneyline greenbacks, suggesting a cautious “low bets, higher dollars” crowd backing Boston.

Home faves are 208-109 (66%) with an 8% ROI this season. Home faves with a winning record are 115-52 (69%) with an 11% ROI. Favs with line movement in their direction are 209-113 (65%) with a 7% ROI this season. Home faves winning the previous playoffs are 83-33 (72%) with a 15% ROI. Saturday faves with a winning record are 24-11 (69%) with an 11% ROI.

The Red Sox have a powerhouse offense, hitting .254 with 41 homers and 172 runs compared to the twins meager .234 average, 26 homers, and 124 runs. Boston cranks out .264 at home, ranking 3rd in MLB, while the Twins struggle on the road with a .215 avg, ranking 19th.

9:38 p.m. ET: Detroit Tigers (-180, 8.5) at Los Angeles Angels

The Tigers (21-12) have cleaned up in the first two games of this four-game series, winning the opener 10-4 as -150 road warriors and then romping again yesterday 9-1 as -190 road champs.

Tonight, the Tigers slot-in Jack Flaherty (1-3, 3.34 ERA), and the Angels counter with the struggling Kyle Hendricks (0-3, 6.65 ERA).

First off, the Tigers were -170 road faves, with the Angels at +155 underdogs. Slimy operators have been sweating the Tigers and have bumped them up to -180. Some are eyeing -185.

Circa shows the Tigers receiving 80% of moneyline bets and a whopping 98% of moneyline dough, hinting at big-timer wiseguys pouring in on the Tigers.

Favs with line movement in their direction are 209-113 (65%) with a 7% ROI this season. Favs who made the playoffs the previous season are 157-85 (65%) with a 5% ROI. Saturday faves with a winning record are 24-11 (69%) with an 11% ROI.

The Tigers unleash the more potent attack, hitting .252 with 164 runs compared to the Angels’ dismal .213 average, and 111 runs.

The Tigers rock a powerful ‘pen with a team ERA of 2.62 (3rd best), while the Angels flounder at 6.60 (worst). Hendricks has surrendered three or more earned runs in three straight outings, and the Angels have dropped all three games.

In the first matchup of the day, the Mets are leaning towards a win with moneyline odds of -150, as they have taken 86% and 90% of moneyline bets and dollars at DraftKings and Circa Sports respectively, hinting at high-roller support. Odds for the Mets have been moving in their direction with a 65% win rate for favored teams with line movement.
The Red Sox are also favored in the second game of the day, with moneyline odds of -115. The Red Sox have been the choice of 75% and 82% of moneyline bets and dollars at DraftKings and Circa Sports respectively, suggesting a cautious "low bets, higher dollars" crowd backing them. Similar to the Mets, the Red Sox also have a win rate of 65% for favored teams with line movement.
In the third matchup, the Tigers are -180 favorites, and they have received 80% of moneyline bets and an overwhelming 98% of moneyline dollars at Circa Sports, indicating big-time wiseguys are pouring in on the Tigers. Again, favored teams with line movement have a 65% win rate.
These MLB games are available for sports betting, and resources like Today's MLB Games, Greg Peterson's MLB Daily Lines, MLB Odds, and MLB Betting Splits can provide valuable information for making informed betting decisions.
The VSiN MLB Betting Splits report that for their 2023 season, Saturday faves with a winning record have an 11% return on investment (ROI) and a win rate of 69%. This data can be useful for making informed bets on the weekend baseball games.