MLB Betting Predictions for Thursday, April 24th: Insights and Odds Analysis

Loosened Up:

Let's dive into today's abridged MLB schedule, dishing out betting insights using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits. These bad boys get updated every half-hour, straight from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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1:35 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox (-185, 8)

This bad boy's the last dance of a three-game duel. The Red Sox (14-12) won the opener 8-3 as -120 home champs. The Mariners (13-11)powered back with an 8-5 win yesterday, bagging victors as +120 road dogs.

In this afternoons showdown, the Mariners roll out righty Bryan Woo (2-1, 3.12 ERA), while the Red Sox counter with lefty Garrett Crochet (2-1, 1.13 ERA).

This line debuted with Boston priced as a -165 home champ, whereas Seattle was a +145 road underdog. Sharp cats have leaned on the Red Sox to snatch the series win, pushing Boston from -165 to -185.

At DraftKings, the Red Sox collect 81% of moneyline bets and 88% of moneyline bucks. At Circa, the Red Sox attract 80% of moneyline bets and 82% of moneyline dollars. Both books show hefty one-way Pro and Joe support in favor of the Red Sox at Fenway.

Home favs are 163-81 (67%) with a 11% ROI this season. Home favs following a defeat are 65-26 (71%) with a 21% ROI. Home favs powered with a winning record are 84-32 (72%) with a 17% ROI. Favs with line movement tipping their way are 159-85 (65%) with an 8% ROI. Favs priced -150 or more are 99-43 (70%) with a 6% ROI.

Boston has a sensible betting edge as a favorite in a low total game (8), with fewer predicted runs likely to hail from the "stronger" team who's expected to claim the win.

The Red Sox boast better bats, clobbering .247 with 121 runs compared to the Mariners .228 with 109 runs.

Crochet's rocked a 0.67 ERA in four April starts, permitting merely 2 ER in 27 innings.

Boston's 8-5 at home this season. Seattle's 5-6 on the road.

3:45 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants (-145, 7.5)

The Giants (16-9) bagged two out of the first three games in this four-game series, emerging victorious 4-2 last night as -145 home champs.

In this late-afternoon showdown, the Brewers (13-12) unleash righty Tobias Myers—his season bow after posting a 3.00 ERA in 2024. The Giants tap righty Landen Roupp (2-1, 4.09 ERA).

This line opened with the Giants tagged as a -135 home champ and the Brewers a +115 road dog. The wise guys have attacked the Giants laying modest chalk at home, ushering San Francisco from -135 to -145.

At DraftKings, the Giants corner 72% of moneyline wagers and 74% of moneyline juice. At Circa, the Giants pull in 63% of moneyline wagers and a jaw-dropping 94% of moneyline dough. Both books display a sharp "low bets, higher dollars" separation in favor of the Giants at home.

Home favs clock in at 163-81 (67%) with a 11% ROI this season. Home favs with a winning record are 84-32 (72%) with a 17% ROI. Favs with line movement voting in their direction are 159-85 (65%) with an 8% ROI. Non-division home favs with steam 5-cents or more in their direction are 45-19 (70%) with a 13% ROI.

San Francisco fits on the favorite roster in a low total game (7.5), with the fewer predicted runs expected to emerge from the "stronger" team who's expected to win.

The Giants boast a far superior bullpen, boasting a team ERA of 2.69 (4th best) compared to 5.07 for the Brewers (6th worst).

The Giants sport a 6-3 record at home this season. The Brewers stumble at 4-8 on the road.

EXTRA INNINGS:

For the 3:45 p.m. game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Francisco Giants on April 24, 2025, key betting trends center on moneyline wagers and line movement:

Moneyline and Line Movement

Moneyline Odds: The San Francisco Giants are favored with around -142 moneyline, while the Milwaukee Brewers hover around +119 to +120[2][3][5].
Line Movement: The moneyline for San Francisco as a favorite has variated slightly but has been relatively consistent across platforms, settling around -140 to -142[3][5].

Betting Trends

Public Betting: The public heavily backs the Giants, with roughly 71% of bets siding with them versus 29% for the Brewers[4].
Recent Performance: The Giants have thrived as favorites this season, winning nine out of thirteen games when favored. However, they've faltered slightly, dropping three out of their last six games overall[3][4].

Given the betting insights from VSiN MLB Betting Splits, the moneyline for the Boston Red Sox in their game against the Seattle Mariners is attracting a significant number of bets and money, with the line shifting from -165 to -185.
The San Francisco Giants are considered the favorites for the game against the Milwaukee Brewers, with the Giants moneyline odds hovering around -142, while the Brewers are around +119 to +120.
In the match between the Giants and Brewers, the line movement for San Francisco as a favorite has been relatively consistent across platforms, settling around -140 to -142.
The public betting trend indicates a heavy support for the San Francisco Giants in their game against the Milwaukee Brewers, with around 71% of bets siding with them, compared to 29% for the Brewers.
Key betting trends for the 3:45 p.m. game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Francisco Giants also highlight the strong performance of the Giants as favorites this season, winning nine out of thirteen games when favored. However, they've netted three losses in their last six games overall.