Mets-Nationals Game Forecast, Odds Analysis, Selection - April 25, 2025
Let's Get Down to Business: The NL East is heating up as the New Yawk Mets face off against the Washing' Nationals this weekend. It's time to dive into our MLB odds analysis and make a call on this intriguing matchup.
The Mets have been on fire, sitting pretty at 18-7 and leading the NL East. Their impressive run includes seven consecutive victories, with a noteworthy sweep of the Phillies. As for the Nationals, they're fighting hard, currently tied for third in the division with a 11-13 record. They've won the opening two games of their series with the Baltimore Orioles, and aim to secure the clean sweep on Thursday.
The Starting Cast:
Kodai Senga (Mets) vs. Jake Irvin (Nats)
Kodai Senga (3-1) boasts a minuscule 0.79 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. In his latest outing, he tossed 5.2 innings, surrendering only three hits and two walks, without giving up a single run. On the road, Senga is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA and a .163 batting average allowed against him.
Jake Irvin (2-0) sports a 3.68 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. In his last start, Irvin struck out nine batters but conceded three hits and two homers, resulting in two runs. At home, Irvin is 0-0 with a 5.63 ERA and a .286 batting average against him.
The MLB Odds:
Courtesy of FanDuel, the odds for this showdown are:
- New York Mets: -1.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: -186
- Washington Nationals: +1.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: +156
- Over: 9 (-110)
- Under: 9 (-110)
How to Catch the Action:
Kick back, relax, and tune in at 6:45 PM ET/ 3:45 PM PT on SNY/MASN to watch the Mets and Nationals slug it out! If you don't have cable, grab a stream using fuboTV (Save $30!).
Why the Mets Will Win:
Pete Alonso has been leading the charge for the Mets this season, hitting an impressive .341 with a .440 on-base percentage. He's already racked up 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs, 26 RBIs, and 15 runs scored. Francisco Lindor, on the other hand, is also delivering, hitting .309 with a .364 on-base percentage. Lindor has four doubles, five home runs, 14 RBIs, two stolen bases, and 18 runs scored. Juan Soto has been contributing to the offensive push, scoring 17 times this season while hitting .233 with a .364 on-base percentage. He's also recorded five doubles, three home runs, 12 RBIs, and two stolen bases.
Brandon Nimmo has been struggling at the plate, hitting only .196 this season with a .250 on-base percentage. Despite the slump, Nimmo has still managed to knock three doubles, four home runs, ten RBIs, and eight runs scored. Luisangel Acuna has been a reliable contributor, hitting .283 with a .356 on-base percentage. He's logged five doubles, an RBI, six stolen bases, and 11 runs scored.
Why the Nationals Will Win:
Nathaniel Lowe has been driving the Washington offense, hitting an impressive .291 with a .365 on-base percentage. He's smacked five doubles, four home runs, 19 RBIs, and seven runs scored. James Wood has also been shining, hitting .256 with a .356 on-base percentage. Wood has five doubles, eight home runs, 18 RBIs, three stolen bases, and 17 runs scored. Keibert Ruiz is leading the team in batting, hitting .325 with a .372 on-base percentage. He's notched four doubles, two home runs, 13 RBIs, and ten runs scored.
Josh Bell has been struggling at the plate, hitting only .141 with a .256 on-base percentage. In spite of the difficulties, Bell has still managed to score ten times, while also hitting four home runs and driving in 11 RBIs. Dylan Crews has been a constant runner, scoring 13 times this year. However, his batting average currently sits at .195 with a .225 on-base percentage. He's also notched a double, three home runs, five RBIs, and six stolen bases.
Final Prediction & Pick:
Kodai Senga has been dominating this season, giving up just four runs in 22 innings of work. With a 1-1 record against current Nationals players, and Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo having strong histories against Irvin, the Mets will take this one.
Final Mets-Nationals Prediction & Pick: Mets ML (-186)
Based on the analysis, the Mets have been performing exceptionally well, boasting a high winning percentage in the NL East and an impressive batter lineup. Kodai Senga, who has a low ERA and WHIP, is scheduled to start for the Mets. In contrast, the Nationals are currently third in the division with less consistency. Nathaniel Lowe has been the primary driving force for the Nationals, but Jake Irvin, their starting pitcher, has struggled at home against the Mets' batters, including Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo. Given these factors, the average bettor might find the Mets to be the better pick when considering the MLB odds for the Mets-Nationals game on Thursday. The over-under seems reasonable, but it is essential to consider the team and individual performances during the h2 (hour two) of the game.
