Mets and Yankees Betting Odds, Tips, Projections, and Starting Pitchers (Wednesday, May 17)
Rewritten Article:
Let's dive into the heat of the Subway Series, Round 2! The rematch going down Saturday, following the Yankees' victory over the Mets in Friday's opener in the Bronx. The sportsbooks are backing the Yankees once more for the second game, with first pitch set for 1:05 pm ET at Yankee Stadium.
Subway Series Odds
The Yankees have been tagged as -135 moneyline favorites, and are also laying 1.5 runs at +142 odds on the run line. The Mets come back as +114 underdogs, while the total stands at 9.5, with the under given a slight edge.
Odds as of May 16th at bet365. Gear up with the bet365 bonus code to bet on MLB today.
Starting Pitchers for NY Mets vs NY Yankees Game 2
Both teams are keeping a close eye on the World Series odds, but who will step up to the plate on Saturday? Aaron Boone has chosen Clarke Schmidt (-135 moneyline favorites) as the Yankees' starter, but the Mets' Griffin Canning (-114 underdogs) has had trouble keeping the ball in the park this season. Will that matter against the powerful Mets lineup with a slash rate as high as .353/.450/.588 versus Schmidt?
The Mets, on the other hand, are brimming with pop. Juan Soto, along with Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Lindor have all hit more than 8 home runs this season, while Soto, Alonso, and Lindor all boast an OPS above .850. Soto returned to Yankee Stadium to the jeers of the crowd, but he didn't find much to hit with three walks to show for it on Friday.
Griffin Canning will be looking for redemption when he faces the Yankees. Despite their rough outing against Schmidt, the Yankees roughed up the Mets' starter Tylor Megill in the opener, sending him packing after just 2.2 innings. The Yankees' powerful lineup, led by AL MVP odds frontrunner Aaron Judge, put up a solid series of hits and runs.
Griffin Canning vs Clarke Schmidt Matchup
It looks like Canning may be in for some regression after putting up a 5-1 record that might not hold up to closer scrutiny. His numbers suggest a flawed pitcher, with hard contact allowed at a rate of 48.7%. That's a concern against the Yankees, given their offensive prowess—especially in a hitter-friendly park like Yankee Stadium.
Additionally, Canning's batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is a low .295, signaling potential regression, and he's also managing to strand 88% of the runners he allows on base. These numbers don't appear sustainable, especially against the Yankees, who are batting .285/.373/.514 against average pitchers like Schmidt.
Picks and Predictions for Mets vs Yankees
- Over 9.5 (-108 at Bet365)
With both offenses in fine form, I'm going with the over 9.5 runs. The Yankees managed to push Game 1 past the total, scoring 6 runs, while the Mets came up short. However, I don't see them struggling twice in a row against Schmidt, making him their main opposition.
The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 6 of their last 9 games, with 3 double-digit run displays. With their recent .291/.373/.565 slash rate, and Schmidt's regression looking inevitable, it's shaping up to be a high-scoring tussle.
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The Yankees, regarded as -135 moneyline favorites, face the Mets again in the Subway Series, with the matchup scheduled for 1:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. The underdog Mets, priced at +114, struggle against Clarke Schmidt who is the Yankees' chosen starter, while Griffin Canning from the Mets' team has had difficulties keeping the ball in the park this season. Despite the high slash rate of the powerful Mets lineup against Schmidt, the Yankees' lineup, led by Aaron Judge, has been in form.
As the over 9.5 (-108 at Bet365) bet suggests, both the Yankees and the Mets are offensively strong, with the Yankees having scored at least 6 runs in 6 of their last 9 games. Griffin Canning's questionable numbers against the Yankees, particularly his high hard contact allowed rate, raise concerns about his ability to contain the Yankees' offensive prowess.
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