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Match Preview for Marseille vs PSG: Analysis, Forecasts, and Top Wagers

Marseille welcomes Paris Saint-Germain for the Coupe de France Round of 16 matchup at Stade Orange Vélodrome. The away team is missing Mbappe and Neymar.

In the Coupe de France's Round of 16, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) faces Marseille at Stade Orange...
In the Coupe de France's Round of 16, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) faces Marseille at Stade Orange Vélodrome, with Mbappe and Neymar unavailable for the match.

Match Preview for Marseille vs PSG: Analysis, Forecasts, and Top Wagers

Fiery Clash Ahead! *Marseille vs PSG in Ligue 1 this Sunday!* The Parisians have dominated the last seven showdowns between these sides. De Zerbi, Marseille's coach, has opted for an aggressive playstyle, with his team netting a whopping 21 goals in just eight games since he took charge.

Marseille's Recent Performance

Marseille is currently third in Ligue 1 after eight rounds, with a record of five wins, two draws, and one loss since De Zerbi took over. Their latest triumphs include a 2-0 victory against Nice and a 3-2 win at Lyon, marking three straight wins. However, they suffered a disappointing 1-0 loss at Strasbourg and a 1-1 draw at home against Angers, despite both teams fielding ten men each. They bounced back with a commanding 5-0 win over Montpellier last week, producing an impressive 3.36 xG.

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Marseille's Team News

Neil Maupay is back from suspension and set to feature in the match. Attacking midfielder Valentin Carboni is out due to a long-term knee injury, as is midfielder Bilal Nadir. Striker Faris Moumbagna might be sidelined due to a knee injury, while left-back Quentin Merlin is close to returning from a hamstring issue. Mason Greenwood, who has scored six goals in eight matches despite receiving just 2.51 xG, has been a standout performer for Marseille.

Motivation for Marseille

This game is steeped in rivalry between the two cities. De Zerbi's side will undoubtedly look to play their attacking game and aim for a win. Still, a draw may not be a bad outcome given Marseille's struggle against PSG in previous encounters.

PSG's Recent Form

PSG has had a robust start this season, with six wins in seven matches across all competitions. They won their first four Ligue 1 games, scoring 16 goals. A late goal propelled them to a 1-0 victory against Girona in the Champions League after 26 shots. A surprise 1-1 draw at Reims followed, but they rebounded with a 3-1 win against Rennes, generating 3.05 xG. A 2-0 loss at Arsenal and another 1-1 draw at Nice were setbacks, but their recent 4-2 home victory over Strasbourg saw them produce 3.49 xG. Despite outshooting PSV 26-8 in midweek, they could only manage a 1-1 home draw.

Team News for PSG

Goncalo Ramos remains sidelined due to an ankle injury, while defender Lucas Hernandez is out with a cruciate ligament injury. Presnel Kimpembe and Marco Asensio, who could potentially fill in as a false nine, are expected to be recalled for the game due to the suspension of Kang-In Lee and the possible substitution of Warren Zaire-Emery.

PSG's Motivation

This fixture is highly anticipated, and PSG will be eager to secure a win. However, with recent Champions League commitments, they may be slightly fatigued.

Key Stats

  • Marseille has lost just one of their last nine Ligue 1 games (six wins).
  • Marseille's last 20 home Ligue 1 matches include only one defeat (a 2-0 loss to PSG in March).
  • Mason Greenwood has scored six league goals this season for Marseille.
  • PSG has won six of their last seven matches against Marseille.
  • PSG has only secured one win in their last four games (LDWD).
  • PSG has gone six matches without a clean sheet.

Verdict

Both teams have exhibited defensive vulnerabilities, so we can expect goals in this match. However, given PSG's superior form and team strength, they are likely favored to take the three points in Marseille.

Best Bet: PSG win at 1.90

Value Bet: PSG win and both teams to score at 3.25

Goalscorer Tip: Mason Greenwood to score anytime at 2.90

  1. Marseille's attack-focused approach under De Zerbi has yielded 21 goals in just eight games, and they are currently third in Ligue 1.
  2. Despite their impressive form, Marseille suffered a 1-0 loss at Strasbourg and a 1-1 draw at home against Angers, demonstrating that they can have disappointing outings against other Ligue 1 teams.
  3. PSG has had a strong start to the season with six wins in seven matches across all competitions, but they have shown defensive vulnerabilities with no clean sheets in their last six matches.
  4. In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and PSG, Mason Greenwood, who has scored six goals in eight matches despite only receiving 2.51 xG, could provide an anytime goal scorer opportunity.
  5. Despite Marseille's recent form, PSG's superior team strength and their tendency to outperform Marseille in their recent encounters make them the likely favorites for a win in this match, with the possibility of both teams scoring.

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