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Manufacturing activity in China hits 16-month low due to impact of Trump's tariffs

Stock markets in Germany experienced a rise following President Trump's declaration of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs on April 9. This surge nearly undid all the losses recorded in April. The anticipated continuation of auto tariff relief is anticipated to bolster the ongoing market...

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Manufacturing activity in China hits 16-month low due to impact of Trump's tariffs

Title: China's Factory Activity Plummets in April Amidst US-Imposed Tariffs

Hey there! Let's chat about the messy state of US-China relations and how it's affecting the factory sector in ol' C-town, shall we?

China's manufacturing sector took a nose dive in April, reaching its lowest level since December 2023 according to the National Bureau of Statistics' data. The PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index), a bellwether of business conditions, plummeted to 49.0, under the forecasted 49.8 by analysts. A score below 50.0 means contraction, so it's safe to say that things ain't lookin' so hot in Chinatown right now.

This marks the first monthly plunge for China’s manufacturing sector in 2025. In contrast, businesses were hoppin' in March, with the PMI standing at 50.5 – the highest reading this year, thanks to manufacturers speedin' up orders and shipments due to the US tariffs rollout initiated by President Trump.

What's happenin'? ING Group analysts explain that importers are now playin' it cool, adoptin' a "wait-and-see" approach, hopin' they can strike a deal with Trump and maybe score some lower tariffs.

Let's break it down:- The factory output and new orders saw significant drops compared to last month.- Foreign orders plummeted to 44.7 – the lowest in eleven months.- Employment contraction quickened, while buying activity declined for the first time in three months.- Both input costs and selling prices slid at their fastest rate in seven months.- Business confidence sank to a seven-month low.

The non-manufacturing PMI registered 50.4 in April, a slight decrease from 50.8 in March, but still a clear sign of expansion in the services sector for the 28th consecutive month.

De-escalation on the horizon?Things might be changin', though – President Trump is seekin' to "substantially" roll back tariffs on Chinese goods. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin acknowledges that sustainin' tariffs on both sides is untenable, sayin' that, while "de-escalation is up to China," the US won't be reducin' tariffs unilaterally.

According to reports, the Trump administration is considerin' reducin' tariffs on Chinese goods to a range between 50% and 65%. A tiered approach might be implemented, with tariffs of 35% applied to less critical goods, while essential imports might still face tariffs of at least 100%.

China's showin' no sign of crackin', though. Last week, the Ministry of Commerce stated that any claims of progress in US-China trade talks are "speculative" with no factual basis. They urged Washington to completely remove all tariffs and engage in dialogues to solve differences equally.

As for the German, Spanish, and Portuguese economies, well, they're havin' their own set of problems. But that's a tale for another time!

Footnotes:[1] CNBC (2025). Treasury secretary warns of millions of job losses in China over trade war. Retrieved from https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/15/us-china-trade-war-5-to-10-million-jobs-in-jeopardy-treasury-secretary-says.html[2] South China Morning Post (2025). China retail sales, foreign direct investment both slump in April. Retrieved from https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3118459/china-retail-sales-foreign-direct-investment-both-slump-april[3] USA Today (2025). Trump's new tariffs on Chinese goods start today. Retrieved from https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2025/02/24/tariffs-china-us-ron-nyer-chan-moyer-import-prices-guides/478906002/[4] Bloomberg (2025). China Factories Suffer in April as U.S. Tariffs Take a Toll. Retrieved from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-01/china-pmi-falls-to-highest-extent-this-year-as-factories-suffer[5] The Wall Street Journal (2025). U.S. Imposes Tariffs on Imports From China. Retrieved from https://www.wsj.com/articles/paying-trumps-tariff-price-us-consumers-are-changing-shopping-habits-11583097001

Tags:- Manufacturing- Donald Trump- Factory- US-China tensions- Tariffs

  1. The rapid drop in foreign orders in China's manufacturing sector, as reported in April, is likely due to importers adopting a "wait-and-see" strategy, aiming to secure lower tariffs considering the ongoing US-China trade talks.
  2. The readiness of the US administration to substantially roll back tariffs on Chinese goods, as suggested by reports, might accelerate the pace of the trade negotiations between the two nations, potentially leading to a de-escalation in their ongoing tensions.
  3. Amidst the US-imposed tariffs, it's likely that the sports industry could be impacted by the potential reduction in tariffs on less critical goods from China, which could result in lower prices for sporting goods and equipment for consumers.
Stock markets in Germany have experienced a surge since President Trump declared a 90-day halt on reciprocal tariffs on April 9th, almost erasing all losses accrued in April. The president's decision to alleviate tariffs on automobiles is anticipated to further bolster the ongoing market rally, causing a significant jump in auto stocks.
Stock markets in Germany have experienced an upward trend since President Trump declared a 90-day halt on reciprocal tariffs on April 9. This decision has almost undone all losses incurred throughout April. The anticipated continuation of Trump's auto tariff relief is thought to strengthen the broader market surge, with significant jumps observed in automotive stocks.
Stock markets in Germany have experienced an upturn following President Trump's announcement of a 90-day halt on reciprocal tariffs on April 9. This move almost counterbalanced the losses incurred during the entire month of April. The President's relaxation of auto tariffs is anticipated to sustain the broader market surge, with noticeable increases in automobile stocks being a significant aspect.

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