Majority of Ukrainians support a ceasefire on the present battlefront
In a recent survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) and reported by the BBC, 76% of Ukrainians believe that Europe's aid is crucial for the continuation of resistance against Russian aggression. The poll, published on Tuesday, also revealed that 74% of Ukrainians support the EU-Ukrainian peace plan, which does not involve legally recognizing territories seized by Russia.
The peace plan, as described, involves freezing the conflict along the current frontline, providing security guarantees for Ukraine, and not recognizing the annexed territories. Despite the support for the peace plan, the survey findings suggest that Ukrainians are not enthusiastic about it.
The survey also revealed that only 18% of respondents believe peace will come this year. A majority (56%) of Ukrainians believe Russia will still try to attack Ukraine again. President Zelensky has stated that Russia plans two heavy offensive campaigns, the previous three having failed.
The survey also showed that most Ukrainians expect the war to end in 2027 or later, with 32% expecting it to end in 2027 or later, followed by 27% expecting it to end in 2026. Only 18% expect the war to end by the end of 2025.
Interestingly, if Ukraine received enough weapons and money, and allies effectively pressured Russia with sanctions, 76% of Ukrainians believe Ukraine could win. The survey did not specify the number of participants or the margin of error.
Another significant finding from the survey is that 54% of those not currently serving in Ukraine's Defense Forces say they are ready to enlist and defend their country with weapons. Among men, this figure is 63%.
The survey findings come amid reports of a combat drone that flew over Vilnius at the end of July, which was launched from Belarus. The origin and purpose of the drone remain unclear.
Despite the ongoing conflict and uncertain future, 62% of Ukrainians are ready to endure the war for as long as it takes. A majority (76%) of surveyed Ukrainians think resistance to Russian aggression must continue, even if the US stops helping Ukraine.
It is worth noting that the survey findings are not without controversy. Some critics have questioned the accuracy of the poll, given the lack of details about the number of participants and the margin of error. Moreover, there have been five prominent unfulfilled war predictions, from Arestovich to Budanov, which demonstrate the challenges of predicting the outcome of the conflict.
In conclusion, the survey findings reveal a nation that is resilient, supportive of the peace plan, and ready to continue the resistance against Russian aggression. However, the ongoing conflict and unpredictable future pose significant challenges for Ukraine and its allies.
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