Majority of Ukrainians (47%) anticipate a favorable outcome from the potential US oil agreement; contrary to this, a smaller group (22%) anticipate a negative outcome.
Ukrainians generally optimistic about minerals agreement with the US
A survey conducted by KIIS from May 2 to May 6 shows that almost half of Ukrainians (47%) have a positive outlook on the minerals agreement with the U.S. This agreement, signed by Ukraine's Minister of Economy Yulia Svyrydenko and the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury on May 1, provides the U.S. with substantial access to Ukraine's natural resources such as critical minerals, oil, and gas.
The balance of positive-negative expectations is +25%, as 22% of respondents anticipate negative consequences, while 19% expect no impact. The remaining 12% are undecided. Slightly fewer positive expectations can be found in the East and West, although in both regions, negative expectations do not exceed a quarter, and the balance of positive-negative expectations remains positive.
The survey's preliminary results are based on 561 interviews, and the final results are likely to remain unchanged, as suggested by KIIS's past experience. It is worth noting that the field stage of the survey is scheduled to continue until mid-May 2025.
In addition to the minerals agreement, on the same day the agreement between Ukraine and the U.S. on the establishment of the Reconstruction Investment Fund was also submitted to the Verkhovna Rada for ratification. Prime Minister Denis Shmyhal expressed hope that the agreement would be ratified by May 8.
For those interested in learning more about the quarry for arms, the risks involved, and the benefits of this Ukraine-US deal, further information can be found in the article "Quarry for Arms. What's in the Ukraine-US Deal and What Risks Remain." To comment, adhere to our commenting rules.
- Sociologists are closely observing the expectations among Ukrainians regarding the minerals deal with the US, as a survey shows a positive outlook from almost half of the respondents.
- The minerals agreement, signed by Ukraine's Minister of Economy and the US Secretary of the Treasury, promises substantial access to Ukraine's critical minerals, oil, and gas, creating a buzz in the general news and politics.
- The policy-and-legislation sector is currently dealing with the proposed Reconstruction Investment Fund agreement between Ukraine and the US, which is awaiting ratification in the Verkhovna Rada.
- Despite a quarter of Ukrainians anticipating negative consequences of the minerals agreement, the overall balance of expectations remains positive, with 22% expecting negative impacts and 19% expecting no impact.
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