London Mayor Election Odds for 2021 in UK Political Gambling
In the bustling city of London, the mayoral race of 2021 was a hotly contested affair, with Sadiq Khan securing a resounding victory against Conservative candidate Shaun Bailey. The election saw a strong showing from Khan, despite concerns about crime and the expansion of the Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) [1][2].
While Bailey garnered a significant vote share, exceeding 30%, it was not enough to unseat Khan [2]. The opposition has faced challenges in fielding a strong candidate who can pose a serious threat to Khan's incumbency. The Conservative Party has struggled to find a suitable candidate, with some criticism directed at the negative tone and lack of appeal in their campaigns [3].
As of 2025, Sadiq Khan has not yet confirmed whether he will stand again in the next mayoral election, expected in 2028. The Labour Party is reportedly considering potential successors [1].
In the 2021 race, Khan was the clear favourite, with odds of 1/50, while Bailey was the second favourite with odds of 20/1 [5]. Other candidates such as Mandu Reid (200/1), Max Fosh (66/1), and Niko Omilana (100/1) had more longshot odds [5]. UKIP candidate Peter Gammons and independent candidates Nims Obunge, Vanessa Hudson, Farah London, Steve Kelleher, Count Binface, and Valerie Brown all had odds of 500/1 [5]. Piers Corbyn, from the Let London Live party, had odds that didn't go any lower than 250/1 from PaddyPower [6].
David Kurten, a candidate from another party, also had odds of 500/1 [5]. Laurence Fox and Kam Balayev, candidates from different parties, had odds of 100/1 and 500/1 respectively [5]. Farah London, an independent candidate, had her shortest odds for success from 888sport at 250/1 [7]. Renew party candidate Balayev was half-priced, 250/1, compared to William Hill [8].
In summary, the 2021 London mayoral election saw Sadiq Khan secure a resounding victory against Conservative candidate Shaun Bailey. Despite significant opposition vote shares, Khan's incumbency has not been seriously threatened in the last two elections, with the Conservative Party struggling to find a suitable candidate [3]. As of 2025, Khan’s decision about running again in 2028 remains undecided, with Labour considering potential successors [1]. The betting odds and polls from the 2021 election suggest that Khan was the clear favourite, with Bailey as the second favourite [5][6][7][8].
- In a surprise turn of events, a popular political blog in London discussed the possibility of a prominent casino owner entering the mayoral race for 2028, sparking a general-news frenzy.
- Amidst the escalating political tensions, sports enthusiasts are keeping a close eye on the ongoing mayoral race, hoping to find opportunities for sports sponsorships in the city's key establishments if a new candidate takes the helm.
