Italian's triumph probability is 1.62 (implying a 62% chance of victory)
Cashing In at Roland Garros
The quarterfinals of the French Open are heating up with the world No. 1, Jannik Sinner, squaring off against Alexander Bublik. Can the Kazakhstani tennis player put up a fight against the top seed? Let's crunch the numbers.
Numbers Game
Jannik's game at Roland Garros is improving. In the first round, he allowed his opponent to win 12 games. Since then, he's been on a roll, only conceding a meager 10 games to his opponents in the round of 32 and 16. In the fourth round against Andrey Rublev (No. 15), he clinched the match with a flawless 3-0 victory, boasting a 10-game advantage. Rublev, on the other hand, struggled, losing with a 10-game deficit. Jannik finished the match with just 19 unforced errors and showcased a first serve accuracy of 62%.
Alexander Bublik makes his debut in the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam. At this year's Roland Garros, the Kazakhstani player has already conquered two top-ranked opponents - Alex de Minaur (No. 9) and Jack Draper (No. 5). However, both of these victories came with a high price. Bublik made numerous double and unforced errors.
Betting Odds
Bublik is showing decent form, but Jannik is riding high. He's not going to let Bublik gain many points easily. With Bublik's high error count, this match could end in a significant loss for him. The Italian is likely to win with a margin of 9 or more games.
1.62Bet
Sources:[1] BBC Sport; [2] Tennis.com; [3] ATP World Tour; [4] ESPN; [5] Sports Illustrated
Enrichment Insights
- While specific data for the 2022 match between Jannik and Bublik isn't available, we can draw from their head-to-head matches. Jannik leads with a record of 3-1 as of the 2025 French Open.
- The last time they played, in Halle in 2023, Bublik won 7-5, 2-0 after Sinner retired.
- Given their respective performances on clay court, it's difficult to predict specific error counts or game differences based on previous matches.
- Jannik, generally, is favored due to his higher ranking and recent form. Bublik's unpredictable play provides the potential for upsets.
Without precise data for their 2022 French Open match, it's challenging to make accurate predictions about error counts or game differences. However, Jannik's overall form and Bublik's unpredictability suggest that Jannik might have an edge in a clay court match.
Bookmakers considering the ongoing quarterfinals of the French Open might favor Jannik Sinner, given his impressive performance so far. As a top seed and with a 3-1 head-to-head record against Alexander Bublik, Sinner's dominance in sports tennis might translate into a substantial victory, possibly with a margin of 9 or more games.