India now perceived favorably by Maldives authorities
The Maldives and India have experienced a significant shift in their diplomatic relationship over the past few years, moving from a period of tension to a renewed cooperation.
In late 2023, the Maldives, under the leadership of President Mohamed Muizzu, elected on an "India Out" platform, demanded the withdrawal of Indian military personnel from the Maldives, suggesting a potential shift towards Chinese alignment [2]. However, by mid-2025, the relationship has seen a marked turnaround.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit to the Maldives marked this reset. During the visit, Modi met with President Muizzu and other Maldivian leaders, signalling a move from distrust to dialogue [2]. Key developments included India pledging a $565 million credit line, initiating free-trade talks, easing tensions over security cooperation, and donating critical infrastructure to the Maldivian defense ministry, including 72 heavy vehicles [4]. Modi also inaugurated several Indian-funded infrastructure projects such as a defense headquarters and a large housing project, reflecting India's commitment to strategic and development cooperation [4].
The Maldives appears to have recognized the importance of maintaining a balance between India and China, considering the debt trap Sri Lanka found itself in as a result of overreliance on Chinese investments [4]. This shift aligns with broader geostrategic considerations, as the Maldives contends with economic challenges.
India's support for critical infrastructure in the Maldives continues, including the construction of sea bridges, which will offer connectivity to nearly half of the Maldives' population [4]. Despite past tensions, India has agreed to continue its support, emphasizing its commitment to the Maldives.
The Maldives' outlook towards India has significantly changed. President Muizzu referred to India as the "first responder" and "most trusted" partner [2]. This change in attitude is evident in the warm reception Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi received during his engagements in the Maldives [2].
However, Indian public perception—especially among youth—has shown some decline in optimism about the Maldives compared to prior years, likely influenced by Muizzu's earlier anti-India stance [3]. Despite this, the Maldives remains seen as a reliable partner.
In conclusion, the relationship between the Maldives and India has shifted from a peak of tension and near estrangement in 2023-early 2024 to a strategic reset and deepening bilateral ties by mid-2025, combining economic, security, and development cooperation [2][4]. The Maldives has shifted back towards India as a reliable ally.
- The increased dialogue and renewed cooperation between the Maldives and India have extended to the realms of general news and politics, as evidenced by ongoing free-trade talks and specific infrastructure development projects.
- Despite the escalation of cooperation between the Maldives and India, there seems to be a discernible difference in Indian public sentiment, particularly among the youth, due to the country's political history with the Maldives.
