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India calls for a firm retaliation against the lethal Kashmir assault - what's required is a measured response

Under the threat of domesticmandate for a military confrontation with Pakistan, revealing insights from India's past reactions towards two prior assaults during Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's tenure, as suggested by RSIS' Sinderpal Singh.

Fire in Pahalgam Triggers Tensions Between India and Pakistan

India calls for a firm retaliation against the lethal Kashmir assault - what's required is a measured response

The tragic shooting incident in Pahalgam, Kashmir, on Apr 22, has sparked simmering tensions between India and Pakistan. With 26 civilians murdered, mostly Indian tourists, the incident has left the question hanging - will India retaliate militarily against Pakistan? The showdown between the two nations is imminent.

India considers this the third major terror attack in the contested Himalayan region since Narendra Modi's administration took office in 2014. The Indian Prime Minister, on Apr 29, granted the military full operational autonomy to decide on the response.

The calm in Kashmir, a bid by New Delhi to maintain normalcy, is now a thing of the past.

In rapid response to the Pahalgam attacks, India has taken decisive measures. The only border crossing with Pakistan is closed, visas for Pakistani nationals are revoked, and some Pakistani diplomats have been expelled.

In an unconventional move, India even suspended the Indus Water Treaty, a treaty signed in 1960 with Pakistan to manage the sharing of river waters. As the waters' upstream neighbor, India has declared intentions to cut off Pakistan's water supply.

International Fallout: The Indo-Pakistan Peril

The Pahalgam attack and subsequent India-Pakistan feud have far-reaching implications, sending ripples across the global stage.

India's Moves:

  • Diplomatic Retaliation: India downgraded ties with Pakistan, slashing the number of Pakistani diplomats in New Delhi and reducing its staff in Islamabad.
  • Visa Ruckus: All visas for Pakistani nationals were invalidated.
  • Border Blockade: The Attari border crossing was shut down, causing disruptions in trade.
  • Water Pact Revocation: India terminated the Indus Water Treaty, accusing Pakistan of supporting cross-border terrorism.

Pakistan's Countermeasures:

  • Airspace Closure: Pakistan closed its airspace to Indian aircraft.
  • Trade Halts: All trade with India was suspended.
  • Diplomatic Expulsions: India's diplomats were expelled, and the Indian High Commission's staff numbers were reduced.

Indus Water Treaty Suspension: Implications and Implications

The Indus Waters Treaty, a pivotal agreement, was signed to govern the sharing of the Indus River basin's water between India and Pakistan in 1960[3]. By suspending this treaty, India aims to pressure Pakistan over its alleged role in terrorism. However, this move invites several concerns:

  1. Amplification of Conflict: The suspension of the treaty increases the risk of further conflict escalation, as Pakistan perceives any water supply disruptions as a grave threat to its national security[1].
  2. Economic Impact: The treaty's suspension may affect agriculture and hydroelectric power generation in both countries, primarily in regions dependent on these rivers[2].
  3. Environmental Concerns: Disruptions in water management could result in environmental issues, obstructing efforts to maintain sustainable water resources[2].
  4. International Involvement: The involvement of nations such as the US and China may be necessary to facilitate conflict negotiation, given the potential severity of this conflict and its impact on regional stability and international relations[1][4].

In conclusion, the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty is a critical escalation in the Indo-Pakistan conflict, with wide-ranging implications for regional stability, economic and environmental sustainability, and international relations.

  1. The suspension of the Indus Water Treaty by India has drawn significant commentary in the realm of war-and-conflicts, politics, and general news, given its far-reaching consequences.
  2. In the wake of the Pahalgam attacks in Kashmir, the suspension of the Indus Water Treaty ratchets up the scale of tensions between India and Pakistan.
  3. The Indian government's decision to suspend the Indus Water Treaty is a strategic move aimed at pressuring Pakistan over allegations of supporting cross-border terrorism, but it has also sparked concerns regarding war-and-conflicts, politics, and general news.
  4. The suspensions and measures taken by both India and Pakistan in response to the Pahalgam attacks highlight the complex and intricate politics surrounding the Kashmir issue and the broader Indo-Pakistan relations, attracting intense commentary from the global community.
Lessons from India's past responses to attacks during Prime Minister Narendra Modi's tenure emerge as domestic pressure mounts for military action against Pakistan, according to RSIS' Sinderpal Singh.

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