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Hong Kong’s 2026 outlook balances optimism with lingering economic risks

A fragile balance of hope and caution defines Hong Kong’s 2026 forecast. Can new financial schemes and China’s economy outweigh global pressures?

In this picture there is a top view of the city full with many buildings and seawater. In the front...
In this picture there is a top view of the city full with many buildings and seawater. In the front bottom side we can see the harbor stop with some ships.

Hong Kong’s 2026 outlook balances optimism with lingering economic risks

Business confidence in Hong Kong remains cautiously optimistic for 2026, despite ongoing economic challenges. A new survey reveals that most respondents expect steady growth, though concerns over trade tensions and competitive pressures persist. The city’s financial ecosystem continues to play a vital role in supporting resilience amid global uncertainty.

Over 60% of those surveyed believe Hong Kong’s economy will expand steadily in the coming year. This optimism is driven by the city’s competitive tax system, strong capital markets, and the economic performance of mainland China. Meanwhile, 66% anticipate a rise in initial public offering (IPO) activity in 2026, supported by initiatives like the proposed IPO Connect Scheme, which aims to facilitate cross-border listings between Hong Kong and other exchanges.

The outlook for Hong Kong in 2026 reflects a mix of cautious optimism and lingering concerns. While steady economic growth and increased IPO activity are expected, businesses face pressures from trade disputes, rising competition, and global economic slowdowns. Policies aimed at improving financial connectivity may play a crucial role in sustaining confidence and resilience in the year ahead.

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