Hefty Rain Predicted across Delhi, Bihar, Rajasthan, Kerala, and various other Regions due to Persistent Monsoon Activity
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a comprehensive weather forecast for the week, predicting active monsoon conditions across the country. The forecast, dated up to mid-July 2025, outlines the weather outlook for specific regions of India in the coming days.
**Northwest India**
Maximum temperatures were noted to be above normal by 1-3°C in some places like Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh during early July. However, from mid to late July, temperatures are likely to be near normal or below normal for most parts, though some parts of the Western Himalayan region may experience above normal temperatures by 2-4°C. Intermittent light rain is expected from July 14 to 19 in parts of Northwest India. Isolated extremely heavy rainfall events are forecast in Rajasthan around July 18. Some areas may experience heavy rainfall events causing impacts like landslides and waterlogging, particularly in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand nearby regions.
**East & Central India**
Maximum temperatures are forecast to be above normal by 2-4°C in many parts of east India during the second week of July. Intermittent light rain is expected broadly in East India from July 14 to 19. Above normal minimum temperatures may persist in some parts of Central and East India. Isolated extreme heavy rainfall is forecast in parts of Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh on July 17. Despite these rains, some parts of East India may still experience below-normal rainfall in July overall, especially in the northeast part of the region.
**West India**
Light intermittent rainfall expected at multiple places across West India over July 14 to 19. Maximum temperatures are likely to be near normal or below normal. Isolated extremely heavy rainfall expected in parts of Gujarat and Rajasthan around mid-July. The IMD has warned that weather systems including low-pressure areas over adjoining seas could cause excessive rainfall impacting river basins in western regions such as Gujarat in the coming weeks.
**General Outlook for July 2025**
The Southwest Monsoon is active and above normal rainfall overall is forecast for the month of July, with expected rainfall exceeding 106% of the long period average. However, rainfall distribution is variable: Northeast India and some parts of East and Northwest India may receive below normal rainfall, while much of the rest of India is expected to experience normal to above-normal rainfall. Monthly average maximum temperatures may remain normal to below normal in many parts, except for above normal readings in some Northeast, Northwest, East, and Southern peninsula areas. Minimum temperatures expected to be normal to below normal in many areas, but above normal in parts of Northeast, South, and some Northwest and East India.
**Regional Forecasts**
- Strong surface winds up to 50 kmph are likely to persist over coastal and southern India for the next five days. - Tamil Nadu is likely to have isolated heavy rainfall and remain hot and humid from July 17-22. - Kerala, Mahe, and the southern peninsula will experience heavy to very heavy rainfall from July 17-22. - On July 17, East Rajasthan is expected to have heavy rain. West Rajasthan is expected to have heavy rain as well. - Telangana is expected to have isolated heavy rainfall on July 17-19. - Rayalaseema is expected to have isolated heavy rainfall on July 18-19. - South Interior Karnataka is expected to have heavy to very heavy rainfall from July 17-22. - On July 17, Punjab and Haryana are expected to have isolated heavy rain. - Parts of the west coast, including Goa and the Ghat areas of Maharashtra, are likely to receive heavy rainfall during the second half of the week. - Lakshadweep is expected to have isolated heavy showers on July 19 and 20. - On July 21 and 22, Uttarakhand is predicted to receive very heavy rain. - Northwestern India, including states like Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and Punjab, is expected to receive heavy to very heavy rainfall, especially on July 17 and from July 20-22. - Mizoram & Tripura are expected to receive heavy rainfall on July 19-20. - Arunachal Pradesh is expected to experience heavy to very heavy rainfall from July 19-22, with particularly heavy rainfall on July 21-22. - Assam & Meghalaya are predicted to have isolated heavy rainfall on July 19-22.
In summary, Northwest India will see variable temperatures with some heavy rain events and mostly near-normal temperatures. East & Central India will have above-normal maximum temperatures and intermittent rainfall with isolated heavy rain spells. West India can expect intermittent rainfall and some heavy rain events, especially mid-July, with mostly near or below normal temperatures. The overall monsoon activity is expected to be above normal across most parts of India in July 2025, though with regional variations across these zones.
Weather forecasting indicates that Northwest India will experience intermittent light rain from July 14 to 19 and some areas may experience isolated extremely heavy rainfall in Rajasthan around July 18, possibly causing landslides and waterlogging, particularly in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand nearby regions. In contrast, East & Central India is forecast to have above-normal maximum temperatures by 2-4°C during the second week of July, with intermittent light rain expected. The general outlook for July 2025 suggests an active Southwest Monsoon, with above-normal rainfall overall, but with variable distribution, such as below-normal rainfall in Northeast India and some parts of East and Northwest India.
