Green Party Poll Results: 10% Drop in Support
In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election, the Greens are facing several challenges that could impact their polling prospects, according to Forsa Chief Manfred Güllner.
Güllner's comments, made to the Bavarian media group, highlight several key issues. The Greens are struggling to maintain their support among young voters, with only nine percent of 18- to 24-year-olds voting for the party in the Bundestag election. This is a significant drop from the 21 percent they received among the same age group, indicating a weakness among the younger demographic.
One of the main reasons for this decline is competition on the left wing of the political spectrum. The resurgence of The Left Party and the launch of Sahra Wagenknecht's new left-populist party have split left-leaning voters, limiting the Greens' ability to grow. The Left's strong appeal among young voters has notably drawn support from Greens voters as well.
Another factor is voter dissatisfaction with the current government coalition, which includes the Greens. This dissatisfaction has caused broader erosion of the Greens' support in favour of parties like AfD and newer left parties.
Güllner also notes that the Greens have a focus on upper education and income levels, particularly in western metropolises and to some extent in Leipzig and Dresden in the eastern part of the country. This focus on a specific demographic has limited their growth potential. The party is currently offering few chances for growth, and Güllner finds it difficult for the Greens to surpass ten percent in polls.
Despite these challenges, Güllner does not expect a sudden drop out of parliament in the short term for the Greens. However, he suggests that even the current shares of the Greens are at risk if their weakness among young voters continues. The Greens lack new talent, and their traditional voter base is in the orbit of the public service, educational institutions, and the media.
In conclusion, the Greens face a narrower room for maneuver in the upcoming election due to competition on the left wing, voter dissatisfaction with the current government coalition, and declining support among younger voters. These factors collectively limit the Greens’ polling prospects in the 2025 German federal election.
In light of the 2025 German federal election, the Greens' polling prospects might be affected due to competition in policy-and-legislation and politics within the left wing of the political spectrum. This competition has led to a decline in their support among young voters, with only nine percent of 18- to 24-year-olds voting for the party.
The Greens' focus on upper education and income levels, particularly in western metropolises and to some extent in Leipzig and Dresden in the eastern part of the country, also limits their growth potential and could pose a threat to their current shares in the election.
