GOP's Large Wager in Texas Could Potentially Be Disrupted by Trump's Actions, According to CNN's Data Head
In a recent analysis presented on CNN, Harry Enten, the network's chief data analyst, has raised concerns about the potential impact of Donald Trump's declining popularity among Texas Latinos on the state's Republican redistricting effort.
Enten highlighted that Texas Latinos have turned against Trump, not just on his handling of the economy, but overall. He emphasised that the drop in Trump's approval rating is a nearly '50 point switcheroo,' with his net approval rating now standing at -40. This significant decline could have far-reaching implications, particularly for the midterm elections and the redrawn districts that are predominantly Hispanic.
The analysis suggests that the drop in Trump's popularity among Texas Latinos mirrors what's happening nationwide with his popularity among Latinos. Enten expressed doubt about the success of the Texas Republicans' redistricting plan due to this significant drop, stating that they may have taken on more than they can handle.
Trump's net approval rating with Latinos regarding his handling of the economy has also soured, according to Enten. This could be a major factor in his overall decline in support among Texas Latinos. In October 2024, Trump had a +9 net approval rating with Texas Latinos when matched against Kamala Harris, but there is no publicly available current net favorability rating specifically comparing Trump among the Texas Latino community to Harris on economic policy.
Enten stressed that Republicans are banking on Trump's gains with Latinos to hold in the midterms, with many of the redrawn districts being predominantly Hispanic. However, the current state of Trump's popularity among Latinos could potentially backfire on the Texas Republicans' redistricting effort.
In the segment with CNN's John Berman, Enten mentioned that Trump's net favorable rating with Texas Latinos has significantly dropped, from 0 in October 2024 to -32 currently. This could significantly impact the midterm elections and the redrawn districts that are predominantly Hispanic.
In conclusion, Enten's analysis indicates that the current state of Trump's popularity among Texas Latinos could potentially backfire on the Texas Republicans' redistricting effort, and it is a factor that should not be overlooked in the upcoming midterm elections.
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