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Germany’s Old Weather Proverbs Hint at Early Spring After Deep Freeze

Centuries-old sayings claim January’s bitter cold could bring a fairer year. But do these proverbs hold up against today’s shifting climate? Meteorologists weigh in.

The image shows an old document with a drawing of a farm in the middle of a field, surrounded by...
The image shows an old document with a drawing of a farm in the middle of a field, surrounded by houses, trees, and a sky. The text on the paper reads "Surgensburg, Germany - Landscape of a Farm".

Germany’s Old Weather Proverbs Hint at Early Spring After Deep Freeze

Germany’s traditional weather proverbs, known as Bauernregeln, are once again drawing attention as January brings freezing temperatures and heavy snow. These age-old sayings have long been used to forecast seasonal shifts—and some now suggest an early spring could follow the current cold snap. Meteorologists acknowledge that while not scientifically precise, these rules occasionally reflect real weather patterns.

The Hundertjährige Kalender (Hundred-Year Calendar), another well-known forecasting method, accurately predicted the deep freeze from January 1–7, followed by snow and bitter cold starting January 8. According to the calendar, snow and rain will persist until January 22, with milder conditions expected by the month’s end.

Several proverbs reinforce hopes for a warmer turn. One states, 'The frostier January is, the fairer the year will be,' while another claims, 'January must roar if spring is to laugh.' In northern Germany, heavy snowfall from low-pressure system Elli has revived old sayings like these, which link harsh January weather to an early spring. Germany’s national weather service, the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), notes that these proverbs often contain a grain of truth, though they lack the precision of modern forecasts. Some years did indeed see early springs before climate change began altering weather patterns. Meanwhile, another proverb offers summer optimism: 'If January is bright and white, summer will gladly turn hot.' Meteorological spring officially begins on March 1, while astronomical spring starts on March 20. The DWD confirms that while Bauernregeln cannot replace scientific predictions, they sometimes align with broader seasonal trends.

The current cold and snow have revived centuries-old weather sayings, many of which hint at a mild, early spring. Though not reliable as exact forecasts, these proverbs continue to shape public expectations. The DWD observes that their occasional accuracy keeps them alive in Germany’s agricultural and cultural traditions.

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