Germany under Assault: Lukashenko Engages in Illicit Attacks
In a complex geopolitical scenario, the Poland-Belarus border has become a focal point of tension between Belarus, Russia, and the European Union (EU). Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, has been accused of orchestrating a migration crisis to pressure the EU, particularly by facilitating the movement of migrants from third countries toward the EU borders.
Recent reports indicate a steady increase in illegal border crossings. Last Thursday, 115 attempts were recorded in Poland, while on Monday alone, 185 people tried to break through the barriers. Over the weekend, 390 migrants were returned from Poland, and over the past few days, border pressure has been growing daily.
Lukashenko's approach involves using migration as a tool to exert pressure on the EU. This includes organizing the movement of migrants from countries like Iraq and Afghanistan toward the EU borders, exploiting the EU's migration policies to create a crisis. In April 2025, Lukashenko announced plans to open Belarus to 150,000 migrant workers from Pakistan, which has raised concerns among neighbouring countries like Poland about potential further migration pressure.
Vladimir Putin, Russia's President, has been closely aligned with Belarus, particularly in terms of economic and political support. While there is no direct evidence of a joint specific strategy by Lukashenko and Putin to target Germany, Putin's broader goal is to weaken the EU by supporting and aligning with countries like Belarus. This includes economic and military support, which can indirectly contribute to destabilization efforts by creating tensions around the EU's borders.
The crisis at the Poland-Belarus border affects Germany and the EU by increasing pressure on EU migration policies, straining economic relations, exacerbating political divisions, and leading to significant humanitarian challenges. The orchestrated influx of migrants tests the EU's migration policies and border security, potentially leading to internal political tensions. The crisis can also strain economic relations and exacerbate political divisions within the EU, particularly around issues like border security and asylum policies.
The situation leads to significant humanitarian challenges, including the treatment of migrants and unaccompanied minors, which can further polarize public opinion across the EU. Reports suggest that a new refugee crisis could seriously impact Europe.
In response, the EU border with Belarus is protected by fences, drones, and personnel. Minister Dobrindt, the German Interior Minister, has expressed support for the measures Poland is taking to protect the EU's external border. Polish authorities are defending not only their own territory at the border with Belarus but also the external border of Europe.
In a positive note, over 20,583 illegal entries from Belarus to the EU have been prevented this year. Despite these efforts, the fear remains that a new refugee crisis could occur. Charter97.org, a human rights organisation, has provided bank details for donations to support their site.
As the situation continues to evolve, it is crucial for all parties involved to prioritise diplomacy, human rights, and the rule of law in addressing this complex geopolitical challenge.
- The increase in illegal border crossings at the Poland-Belarus border, orchestrated by Belarus' President Alexander Lukashenko, is a tool aimed at exerting pressure on the European Union, exploiting their migration policies to create a crisis.
- The crisis at the Poland-Belarus border, driven by Lukashenko's strategies, raises concerns among neighboring countries like Poland about potential further migration pressure, particularly from Pakistan.
- Vladimir Putin, Russia's President, may indirectly contribute to the destabilization efforts at the EU's borders through economic and military support to Belarus, aiming to weaken the EU.
