Forecasts for BMW Championship 2025: Top Predictions for Outright Champion, Underrated Players, and Top-10 Contenders (According to Bazza)
In the upcoming BMW Championship 2025, golf betting expert Baz predicts Rory McIlroy as a strong contender for the title. The Northern Irishman, currently ranked second in the FedEx Cup standings, is considered the second favourite in betting odds, with around +700 to +750 odds to win.
McIlroy's excellent season performance, fresh condition from skipping the previous FedEx St. Jude Championship, and suitability to the course's demands at Caves Valley Golf Club make him a credible choice for the title. His driving distance, ranked first in the field, and high strokes gained around the green position him well for the tournament.
Baz's analysis highlights McIlroy's peak form this season, with four wins and six top-seven finishes in his last 15 worldwide starts, including recently capturing The Masters and completing the career Grand Slam. These statistics, coupled with the course setup favouring long hitters and precise short-game players, make McIlroy an appealing value bet behind the favourite Scottie Scheffler.
Analysts expect McIlroy to arrive "fresh and raring to go" after skipping the previous tournament, which is viewed as a strategic move rather than a concern. With betting markets assigning McIlroy an implied probability around 11.7% to win, second only to Scottie Scheffler’s 29.4% likelihood, McIlroy's odds reflect strong but second-best odds.
Meanwhile, Keegan Bradley is an outside pick for the BMW Championship, while Matt Fitzpatrick has risen 40 places in the Official World Golf Rankings in his last six starts, with four top-8 finishes. Fitzpatrick, who hasn't missed a cut since the week before The Masters, is offered at +2500 with BetMGM for the outright winner bet.
Baz's formula for making his betting tips centres around following trends, and his picks are heavily-researched and data-driven. The 'Points' stake system allows Baz to assign a value (10 points) to each event, determining the amount of money to be spent on bets. Baz shares his best bets across one particular event each week.
The BMW Championship is the second FedEx Cup Playoff event of the 2024-2025 PGA Tour season, with only 50 of the world's best golfers participating. BetMGM is offering a first bet offer: $1500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets, if You Don't Win.
For those interested in Baz's betting tips, they can be found through the Golf Monthly betting hub.
Golf enthusiasts considering bets for the BMW Championship might find Rory McIlroy's second-favorite odds, with +700 to +750, particularly appealing. His strong performance this season, including a recent win at The Masters and several top-seven finishes, combined with his driving distance and strokes gained around the green, make him a credible choice.
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