Forecasting Home Runs, Betting Lines, and Prop Bets for Thursday June 19 in MLB
Here's your fresh take on today's MLB home run picks for June 19:
Thursday's MLB Slate Bursting with Home Run Prospects
I'm jumping into the action with some explosive picks for tonight's lineup. Let's dive into my MLB Home Run Picks for June 19.
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MLB Home Run Picks for June 19
| Time (ET) | Player Prop || --- | --- || 1:05 p.m. | Mike Trout (Angels) || 6:35 p.m. | Junior Caminero (Rays) || 10:05 p.m. | Nick Kurtz (Athletics) || 10:05 p.m. | Isaac Paredes (Astros) || Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Angels vs Yankees Home Run Pick
Mike Trout
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+400) · vs. Carlos Rodon
1:05 p.m.
Gotta say, I'm not a fan of the left-handers for the Angels, but Trout is an exception.
Despite Carlos Rodon putting up impressive numbers this season, he still has high fly-ball and hard-contact rates against righties. Trout, in my opinion, is precisely the kind of righty batter who can break that trend.
Mike Trout
The weather in New York should be an advantage, with temps in the 90s and a 10 MPH wind blowing out to left field.
Trout has had a solid season, and while he's not quite back to his pre-injury form, the fact remains that his power is still intact. I've evaluated the true odds, which I put much lower, making this a significant bet.
Pick:
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Pick
6:35 p.m.
Junior Caminero
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450) · vs. Charlie Morton
Junior Caminero
Caminero's got a sweet matchup against Charlie Morton. For starters, Morton has been hit hard by righty power this season, giving up a hefty 1.53 HR/9.
The ballpark is perfect for power, and the weather should work in Caminero's favor, too, with mid-80s temps, high humidity, and just a slight breeze blowing out.
I believe the true odds should be around +400, making this a worthwhile play, buddy.
Pick:
10:05 p.m.
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Pick
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+600) · vs. Colton Gordon
Gordon's been strong against lefties, but with a small sample size, it's hard to count on that. He grades out only slightly below-average versus lefty power.
Kurtz has shown impressive form since his rough start to the season, and the weather in Sacramento should be in his favor, with temps in the 70s and a 13 MPH breeze blowing out.
I have the true odds here 100 points lower, making this a lucrative wager.
10:05 p.m.
Pick:
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Bet
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+540) · vs. Jacob Lopez
We're doubling down on the Astros righties, and Paredes is a great way to cash in.
Jacob Lopez has been crushed by righties this season, surrendering a monstrous 1.90 HR/9. Add to that his near 60% fly-ball rate, and you can see why we're liking Paredes' chances tonight.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
The wind in Sacramento is one of the league's most receptive, blowing out at 13 MPH. Paredes' 15 bombs in 70 games speak for themselves, and the short left-field porch fits perfectly with his spray chart.
I'm confident in the true odds being much lower, making this a solid play.
Pick:
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- If you're a sports enthusiast and baseball is your passion, you won't want to miss tonight's MLB games.
- There's a high probability of witnessing some home runs in the MLB matches as per the home run picks for June 19.
