Forecast predicts the suppression of 2 to 5 significant hurricanes in the Atlantic from August to November; anticipation of additional tropical storms issued
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has predicted that the second half of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than usual. The forecast, which runs from June to November, predicts between 13 and 18 named tropical storms, with 5 to 9 becoming hurricanes and 2 to 5 reaching major hurricane status.
The increased activity is attributed to factors such as sea surface temperatures above average in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, an active monsoon in West Africa, and other conditions that favour storm development.
So far in 2025, the Atlantic Ocean has seen four named storms: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dexter. Chantal was the first storm to make landfall in the United States this year, resulting in at least two deaths in North Carolina.
As of mid-August 2025, tropical storm Rafael has formed in the Atlantic and is forecast to intensify into a hurricane. This storm is currently on alert for Cuba, Jamaica, and the Cayman Islands.
Matt Rosencrans, lead hurricane meteorologist for the National Centers for Environmental Prediction of the NOAA, stated that many factors identified before the season are still in play. The NOAA maintains its forecast of a below-average season in the Eastern Pacific.
Colorado State University, a reference in meteorology in the United States, expects the formation of 16 tropical storms in the Atlantic during the hurricane season, of which three would be major hurricanes. The NOAA's forecast for the hurricane season came two days after Colorado State University's report.
It's important for coastal communities to stay vigilant and prepared for the potential impacts of tropical storms and hurricanes during the second half of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
[1] NOAA's updated forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season: https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-forecasts-above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season
[2] Colorado State University's forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season: https://tropical.colostate.edu/outreach/articles/2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast/
- The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has updated its forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting an above-average number of tropical storms and hurricanes due to factors such as sea surface temperatures, monsoon activity, and other conditions conducive to storm development.
- Colorado State University, a leading authority in meteorology in the United States, also expects an active 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting the formation of 16 tropical storms, with three expected to be major hurricanes.
- As the second half of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season approaches, it's crucial for coastal communities to stay informed, vigilant, and prepared for potential impacts from tropical storms and hurricanes, given the increased activity forecasted by both NOAA and Colorado State University.
