Forecast Predicts Increasing Trend: Title Unnecessary
In the recent Vienna election, the SPÖ managed to secure first place, but the red-pink government faces a potential loss of their majority in the regional parliament according to early trend forecasts. Based on projections, the SPÖ is set to see a near 5-point decline in support, resulting in a historical low of 37-38% of the vote. NEOS, on the other hand, looks to make gains with an estimated 8-9%.
The Greens and OVP are predicted to suffer losses as well, while the FPO appears to be making a significant comeback, tripling its vote share compared to the last election.
current trend forecasts by oe24 and ORF suggest that, if the results hold, the SPO and NEOS would only manage to secure 49 seats combined, falling short of the majority needed to govern the Vienna regional parliament. Potential coalition partners for the SPO include the Greens (with 53 seats each) or the OVP (also with 53 seats each), assuming both parties can form a two-party coalition.
As the votes are still being counted, coalitions have yet to be solidified. However, early reports indicate that both the SPO and NEOS are taking the forecasts in stride, acknowledging that much remains uncertain, especially given the large margin of error in the initial projections.
The SPO, having secured first place in the Vienna election, may face a loss of their majority in the regional parliament due to a predicted decline in support, with early trend forecasts showing a possible 5-point loss and a historical low of 37-38% of the vote. On the flip side, NEOS is projected to gain 8-9% of the vote, suggesting a potential shift in the balance of power in Austrian politics and policy-and-legislation, as general-news outlets report.