Football Projections Suggest Chargers Victory in Monday Night Encounter
The NFL 2022/23 season continues with an exciting matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Las Vegas Raiders this evening. The Chargers are approximately 3.5-point favorites, according to many sportsbooks, but a closer look at the betting market reveals an intriguing narrative.
The Over/Under total points for this game is currently around 46.5. This number has seen movement, with the opening line of 44.5 being pushed upwards. At BetMGM, 72% of tickets and an impressive 92% of the money are backing the Over, suggesting a strong preference among bettors for a high-scoring game.
However, there seems to be a split among prediction models. Some predict the Over 46.5, while others believe defensive plays, turnovers, or a more conservative game script might push the total under slightly. The projected scoring implies a game that is likely to see some scoring fireworks, but not a shootout.
Interestingly, the big three prediction market platforms - Myriad, Polymarket, and Kalshi - are favoring the Chargers by roughly 65%. Yet, some analysts see value in the Raiders +3.5, suggesting that the Chargers may have overhyped momentum from Week 1, while home field and Las Vegas's offensive weapons could keep it close.
In the prop bets market, there is a trend of backing the Raiders to make plays. Bettors are buying into props where Jeanty makes significant rush attempts and Geno Smith finds success in intermediate passes. Ladd McConkey is also a popular choice, with bets on him exceeding 72.5 receiving yards and more than 5.5 receptions.
The moneyline odds reflect this trend, with the Chargers favored at approximately −185 to −196, while the Raiders are listed as underdogs at +150-+160. It's worth noting that 56% of the money at BetMGM is on the Chargers covering the spread.
As the game approaches, it's clear that while the Chargers are favored, the betting market is intrigued by the potential for the Raiders to make an impact. The stage is set for an exciting contest between two talented teams.
